NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over STRT overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
STRT
Strattec Security Corporation
STRT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
STRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
STRT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over STRT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
STRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $43.33 | -31% |
| Forward | 13x | $62.38 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $56.31 | -9.7% |
| Current | 15x | $62.38 | — |
| Expensive | 28x | $116 | +85% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STRT's PE is in its fair range at 15x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13x.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
STRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect STRT's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
STRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.75 | +15% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.12 | -28% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.00 | +9.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.07 | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.61 | +65% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.73 | +45% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.58 | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.95 | +400% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.00 | +7900% |
STRT has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over STRT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
STRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $147.2M | -3.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $151.8M | -0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $137.6M | -4.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $137.5M | +5.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $152.4M | +9.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $152M | +6.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $144.1M | +2.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $129.9M | +9.6% |
STRT has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.4% | -2.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.1% | -1.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.7% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.5% | +1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.9% | +3.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.6% | -1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.9% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6% | +1.6 points |
STRT's operating margin was 4.4% last quarter, down 2.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
STRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.6M | -2.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.2M | -70% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.7M | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.3M | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.8M | +5.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.2M | +72% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.6M | +$21.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $8.5M | +$13M |
STRT has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
STRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.7% | -69K shares |
| 1 year | -1.8% | -74K shares |
| 3 years | +2% | +79K shares |
| 5 years | +4.1% | +160K shares |
| Available history | +8.3% | +312K shares |
STRT has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5M |
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
STRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
STRT has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
STRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.9 | Oversold |
STRT's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
STRT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | STRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 18x | 16% below |
| PE % | 64 | 47 | 17 pts above |
STRT has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
STRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $63.1 | 1.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $72.9 | 14% below |
| 50 week MA | $76.6 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $65.4 | 4.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $45.6 | 37% above |
STRT has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 37% above its 200-week average.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.
STRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.0 | $51.4 | +134% |
| 2021 | $51.4 | $37.4 | -27% |
| 2022 | $37.4 | $20.4 | -45% |
| 2023 | $20.4 | $25.3 | +24% |
| 2024 | $25.3 | $41.3 | +63% |
| 2025 | $41.3 | $79.5 | +92% |
| 2026 YTD | $79.5 | $62.4 | -22% |
STRT has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.