NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over SPWH overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
SPWH
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc.
SPWH offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
SPWH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
SPWH's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
SPWH PE Valuation
SPWH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SPWH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
SPWH has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE has the edge over SPWH on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SPWH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.23 | -$0.26 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.30 | -$0.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.30 | -$0.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.98 | -$0.13 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.97 | -$0.07 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.95 | -$0.12 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.87 | -$0.10 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.85 | -$0.57 |
SPWH lost $1.23 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over SPWH on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SPWH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $295.6M | +0.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $256.1M | +2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $334.9M | -1.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $331.3M | +2.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $293.9M | +1.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $249.1M | +2% |
| Q1 2025 | $340.4M | -8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $324.3M | -4.8% |
SPWH has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | -7.1% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.6% | -6.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1.1% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | -7.9% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.1% | +3.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1% | +0.1 points |
SPWH's operating margin was −0.4% last quarter, up 0.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
SPWH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$15.5M | +$18.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$59.6M | +$4.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $98.1M | +98% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.7M | +$14.9M |
| Q3 2025 | -$33.9M | -340% |
| Q2 2025 | -$64M | -$26.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $49.6M | -18% |
| Q4 2024 | -$6.2M | -127% |
SPWH has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over SPWH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
SPWH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.7% | +280K shares |
| 1 year | +1.7% | +668K shares |
| 3 years | +4.1% | +1.5M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -5.7M shares |
| Available history | -10% | -4.5M shares |
SPWH has 39M diluted shares, up 1.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $2.1M |
| Q2 2023 | $696,000 |
| Q1 2023 | $2.3M |
| Q4 2022 | $10.4M |
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over SPWH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SPWH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 20.9x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 24.4x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
SPWH's net debt is about 15 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.8 years a year ago.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
SPWH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.3 | Neutral |
SPWH's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
SPWH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SPWH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
SPWH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
SPWH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.11 | 9% above |
| 20 week MA | $1.16 | 4.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $1.29 | 6.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $1.85 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.18 | 62% below |
SPWH has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.
SPWH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $8.04 | $17.9 | +123% |
| 2021 | $17.9 | $11.5 | -36% |
| 2022 | $11.5 | $9.13 | -21% |
| 2023 | $9.13 | $4.26 | -53% |
| 2024 | $4.26 | $2.65 | -38% |
| 2025 | $2.65 | $1.36 | -49% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.36 | $1.21 | -11% |
SPWH has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.