NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over SLGN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
SLGN
Silgan Holdings Inc.
SLGN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
SLGN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
SLGN's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over SLGN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SLGN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 10x | $40.71 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $34.15 | -16% |
| Fair | 16x | $38.73 | -4.9% |
| Current | 16x | $40.71 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $44.51 | +9.3% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SLGN's PE is in its fair range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SLGN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SLGN has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
SLGN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.03 | +62% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.49 | -15% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.56 | -8.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.67 | -0.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.70 | +4.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.94 | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.81 | -1.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.69 | -5.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.58 | -13% |
SLGN has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over SLGN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SLGN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | +1.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | +6.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.6B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | +4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.5B | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | +5.3% |
SLGN has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.1% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.3% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6% | +0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.4% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.7% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.5% | -2.8 points |
SLGN's operating margin was 7.1% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
SLGN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $264.7M | +1.5% |
| Q2 2026 | -$258.5M | +$35.7M |
| Q1 2026 | -$882M | -$115.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +41% |
| Q3 2025 | $260.8M | +3.3% |
| Q2 2025 | -$294.2M | -$258.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$766.3M | -$143.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $865M | -16% |
SLGN has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
SLGN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +151K shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -860K shares |
| 3 years | -2.6% | -2.8M shares |
| 5 years | -4.7% | -5.3M shares |
| Available history | -5% | -5.6M shares |
SLGN has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $7.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $8.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $59.3M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $6.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6M |
SLGN spent $17M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 76% from the year before.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over SLGN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SLGN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.9x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.2x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 6.3x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 7.0x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3x | High |
SLGN's net debt is about 5.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.3 years a year ago.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
SLGN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 64.4 | Neutral |
SLGN's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
SLGN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SLGN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 9.3% below |
| PE % | 62 | 47 | 15 pts above |
SLGN has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
SLGN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $38.2 | 6.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $40.8 | 0.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $41.3 | 1.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $45.4 | 10% below |
| 200 week MA | $46.5 | 12% below |
SLGN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 12% below its 200-week average.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.
SLGN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $31.1 | $36.9 | +19% |
| 2021 | $36.9 | $41.1 | +12% |
| 2022 | $41.1 | $52.8 | +28% |
| 2023 | $52.8 | $45.3 | -14% |
| 2024 | $45.3 | $52.6 | +16% |
| 2025 | $52.6 | $40.9 | -22% |
| 2026 YTD | $40.9 | $40.7 | -0.4% |
SLGN has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.