NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 18x earnings, below its usual 33x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

SIG

Signet Jewelers Limited

60
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

SIG's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 14x earnings, above its usual 10x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

SIG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

SIG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over SIG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SIG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x105x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x105x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$58.67-50%
Forward9.2x$118—
Fair10x$87.57-26%
Expensive14x$118+0.1%
Current14x$118—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SIG's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.2x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SIG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

SIG has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails SIG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SIG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$160.34
Downside-23%$90.46

Calculated from the latest close: $118.22 on Nov 12.

SIG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

SIG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.59Q1 2024: $15.01Q2 2024: $12.32Q3 2024: $8.66Q4 2024: $8.71Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $2.93Q4 2025: $3.30Q1 2026: $7.08Q2 2026: $7.08Q3 2026: $8.63Forward: $12.80
Q4 2023: $8.59Q1 2024: $15.01Q2 2024: $12.32Q3 2024: $8.66Q4 2024: $8.71Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $2.93Q4 2025: $3.30Q1 2026: $7.08Q2 2026: $7.08Q3 2026: $8.63Forward: $12.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.80+48%
Q3 2026$8.63+195%
Q2 2026$7.08+714%
Q1 2026$7.08+$7.89
Q4 2025$3.30-62%
Q3 2025$2.93-66%
Q2 2025$0.87-93%
Q1 2025-$0.81-105%
Q4 2024$8.71+1.4%

SIG has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

SIG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-0.5%
Q2 2026$1.6B+0.8%
Q1 2026$2.3B-0.3%
Q4 2025$1.4B+3.1%
Q3 2025$1.5B+3%
Q2 2025$1.5B+2%
Q1 2025$2.4B-5.8%
Q4 2024$1.3B-3.1%

SIG has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

SIG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $716MQ2 2024: −$182MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: −$139MQ1 2025: $742MQ2 2025: −$212MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $676MQ2 2026: −$169MQ3 2026: $31M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $716MQ2 2024: −$182MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: −$139MQ1 2025: $742MQ2 2025: −$212MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $676MQ2 2026: −$169MQ3 2026: $31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$30.8M-51%
Q2 2026-$169.2M+$42.7M
Q1 2026$676.4M-8.9%
Q4 2025-$1.5M+$137M
Q3 2025$62.3M+294%
Q2 2025-$211.9M-$30.4M
Q1 2025$742.1M+3.6%
Q4 2024-$138.5M-1089%

SIG has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

SIG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-1.1M shares
1 year-4.4%-1.8M shares
3 years-28%-15M shares
5 years-24%-12.7M shares
Available history-24%-12.5M shares

SIG has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SIG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low

SIG has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

SIG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic80.9Overbought

SIG's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

SIG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSIGSector medianRelative
PE14x18x24% below
PE %834736 pts above

SIG has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

SIG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$112.15.5% above
20 week MA$98.919% above
50 week MA$92.428% above
100 week MA$84.141% above
200 week MA$84.540% above

SIG has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

SIG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.0$26.2+25%
2021$26.2$83.5+219%
2022$83.5$68.1-19%
2023$68.1$107.3+58%
2024$107.3$82.0-24%
2025$82.0$85.2+4%
2026 YTD$85.2$118.2+39%

SIG has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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