NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over SG overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

SG

Sweetgreen, Inc.

49
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SG offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

SG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SG's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over SG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x86x115x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x86x115x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$9.04-27%
Fair73x$10.88-12%
Current83x$12.38—
Expensive86x$12.94+4.5%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SG's PE is 83x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

SG has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails SG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$20.60
Downside-40%$7.46

Calculated from the latest close: $12.38 on Nov 12.

SG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

SG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.01Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-0.83Q3 2024: $-0.79Q4 2024: $-0.79Q1 2025: $-0.77Q2 2025: $-0.84Q3 2025: $-0.97Q4 2025: $-1.14Q1 2026: $0.12Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.15
Q4 2023: $-1.01Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-0.83Q3 2024: $-0.79Q4 2024: $-0.79Q1 2025: $-0.77Q2 2025: $-0.84Q3 2025: $-0.97Q4 2025: $-1.14Q1 2026: $0.12Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.15+$1.12
Q2 2026$0.10+$0.94
Q1 2026$0.12+$0.89
Q4 2025-$1.14-$0.35
Q3 2025-$0.97-$0.18
Q2 2025-$0.84-$0.01
Q1 2025-$0.77+$0.17
Q4 2024-$0.79+$0.22

SG has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

SG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $153MQ1 2024: $158MQ2 2024: $185MQ3 2024: $173MQ4 2024: $161MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $186MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $162MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $176M
Q4 2023: $153MQ1 2024: $158MQ2 2024: $185MQ3 2024: $173MQ4 2024: $161MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $186MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $162MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $176M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$176M+2.1%
Q2 2026$192.7M+3.8%
Q1 2026$161.5M-2.9%
Q4 2025$155.2M-3.5%
Q3 2025$172.4M-0.6%
Q2 2025$185.6M+0.5%
Q1 2025$166.3M+5.4%
Q4 2024$160.9M+5.1%

SG has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE has the edge over SG on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$156,000Q3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: −$21MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$37MQ4 2025: −$39MQ1 2026: −$30MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: −$22M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$156,000Q3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: −$21MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$37MQ4 2025: −$39MQ1 2026: −$30MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: −$22M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$22.1M+$15.1M
Q2 2026-$10.6M+$2.6M
Q1 2026-$29.6M+$302K
Q4 2025-$39M-$18.4M
Q3 2025-$37.2M-$26.9M
Q2 2025-$13.1M-$13M
Q1 2025-$29.9M-$19.9M
Q4 2024-$20.6M-$14.7M

SG has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$101M over the past year, against −$101M the year before.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over SG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 112MQ1 2024: 113MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 118MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 118MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 119MQ3 2026: 119M
Q4 2023: 112MQ1 2024: 113MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 118MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 118MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 119MQ3 2026: 119M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+212K shares
1 year+0.7%+828K shares
3 years+6.2%+6.9M shares
5 years+10%+10.9M shares
Available history+10%+10.9M shares

SG has 119M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SG Net Leverage

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

SG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.3Overbought
Stochastic88.8Overbought

SG's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over SG on valuation relative to its sector.

SG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSGSector medianRelative
PE83x18x358% above
PE %785622 pts above

SG is trading at 83x earnings, a 358% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

SG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.320% above
20 week MA$8.2949% above
50 week MA$7.5065% above
100 week MA$12.21.7% above
200 week MA$15.721% below

SG has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

SG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$53.0$31.4-41%
2022$31.4$8.83-72%
2023$8.83$11.3+28%
2024$11.3$32.4+186%
2025$32.4$6.97-78%
2026 YTD$6.97$12.4+78%

SG has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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