NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over SFIX overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

SFIX

Stitch Fix, Inc.

53
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

SFIX offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

SFIX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

SFIX's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

SFIX PE Valuation

SFIX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SFIX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
--
Limited
--

Analysts expect SFIX's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails SFIX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SFIX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+60%$4.50
Downside-37%$1.77

Calculated from the latest close: $2.82 on Nov 12.

SFIX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over SFIX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SFIX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.30Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-1.01Q3 2024: $-1.07Q4 2024: $-0.82Q1 2025: $-0.57Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.22Q4 2025: $-0.22Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.14Q3 2026: $-0.09
Q4 2023: $-1.30Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-1.01Q3 2024: $-1.07Q4 2024: $-0.82Q1 2025: $-0.57Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.22Q4 2025: $-0.22Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-0.14Q3 2026: $-0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.09+$0.13
Q2 2026-$0.14+$0.31
Q1 2026-$0.19+$0.38
Q4 2025-$0.22+$0.60
Q3 2025-$0.22+$0.85
Q2 2025-$0.45+$0.56
Q1 2025-$0.57+$0.45
Q4 2024-$0.82+$0.48

SFIX is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $2.68 at its worst in early 2023.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

SFIX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $365MQ1 2024: $330MQ2 2024: $323MQ3 2024: $320MQ4 2024: $319MQ1 2025: $312MQ2 2025: $325MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $342MQ1 2026: $341MQ2 2026: $340MQ3 2026: $324M
Q4 2023: $365MQ1 2024: $330MQ2 2024: $323MQ3 2024: $320MQ4 2024: $319MQ1 2025: $312MQ2 2025: $325MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $342MQ1 2026: $341MQ2 2026: $340MQ3 2026: $324M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$324.4M+4.2%
Q2 2026$340.3M+4.7%
Q1 2026$341.3M+9.4%
Q4 2025$342.1M+7.3%
Q3 2025$311.2M-2.6%
Q2 2025$325M+0.7%
Q1 2025$312.1M-5.5%
Q4 2024$318.8M-13%

SFIX has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

SFIX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: −$26MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: −$26MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.4M+59%
Q2 2026$6.5M-59%
Q1 2026$3.4M+$22.8M
Q4 2025$5.6M-44%
Q3 2025$2.8M-38%
Q2 2025$16M-15%
Q1 2025-$19.4M+$6.6M
Q4 2024$9.9M-41%

SFIX has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over SFIX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SFIX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 119MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 120MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 130MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 133MQ1 2026: 135MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 134M
Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 119MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 120MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 130MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 133MQ1 2026: 135MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 134M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1.1M shares
1 year+4.2%+5.5M shares
3 years+17%+19.6M shares
5 years+27%+28.3M shares
Available history+32%+32.7M shares

SFIX has 134M diluted shares, up 4.2% from a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SFIX Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -102.3x
Q3 2026: -102.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-102.3xNet Cash
Q1 2020-6.4xNet Cash
Q4 2019-5.0xNet Cash

SFIX has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

SFIX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic29.7Neutral

SFIX's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

SFIX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSFIXSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

SFIX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

SFIX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.627.6% above
20 week MA$3.1410% below
50 week MA$3.6823% below
100 week MA$4.0030% below
200 week MA$3.8326% below

SFIX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 26% below its 200-week average.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has the edge over SFIX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SFIX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.4$69.3+173%
2021$69.3$19.7-72%
2022$19.7$2.96-85%
2023$2.96$3.57+21%
2024$3.57$4.15+16%
2025$4.15$5.19+25%
2026 YTD$5.19$2.82-46%

SFIX's yearly returns have swung widely, from +173% in 2020 to −85% in 2022. It's down 46% so far in 2026.

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