NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SE

Sea Limited

69
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

SE has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

SE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Stable
Strong

SE's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

SE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE403x807x1210x1614x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE403x807x1210x1614x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current29x$74.52—
Cheap37x$95.38+28%
Fair93x$242+224%
Expensive688x$1,783+2293%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SE has the edge over NKE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SE, but weaker profitability.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails SE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$110.15
Downside-19%$60.05

Calculated from the latest close: $74.52 on Nov 12.

SE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

SE Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.13Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $1.42Q2 2025: $1.97Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $2.54Q1 2026: $2.58Q2 2026: $2.59
Q3 2023: $1.13Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $1.42Q2 2025: $1.97Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $2.54Q1 2026: $2.58Q2 2026: $2.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.59+31%
Q1 2026$2.58+82%
Q4 2025$2.54+239%
Q3 2025$2.30+1253%
Q2 2025$1.97+$2.32
Q1 2025$1.42+2740%
Q4 2024$0.75+213%
Q3 2024$0.17-85%

SE has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

SE Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3.3BQ4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.3BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $7.8B
Q3 2023: $3.3BQ4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.3BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$7.8B+48%
Q1 2026$7.1B+47%
Q4 2025$6.9B+38%
Q3 2025$6B+38%
Q2 2025$5.3B+38%
Q1 2025$4.8B+30%
Q4 2024$5B+37%
Q3 2024$4.3B+31%

SE has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

SE Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $556MQ4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $440MQ2 2024: $552MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $932MQ1 2025: $757MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $919MQ2 2026: $1.1B
Q3 2023: $556MQ4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $440MQ2 2024: $552MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $932MQ1 2025: $757MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $919MQ2 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.1B-18%
Q1 2026$918.9M+21%
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025$1B+0.8%
Q2 2025$1.4B+153%
Q1 2025$756.9M+72%
Q4 2024$931.8M+252%
Q3 2024$1B+86%

SE has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over SE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SE Total Shares

Q3 2023: 565MQ4 2023: 570MQ1 2024: 571MQ2 2024: 574MQ3 2024: 574MQ4 2024: 610MQ1 2025: 635MQ2 2025: 592MQ3 2025: 636MQ4 2025: 640MQ1 2026: 636MQ2 2026: 654M
Q3 2023: 565MQ4 2023: 570MQ1 2024: 571MQ2 2024: 574MQ3 2024: 574MQ4 2024: 610MQ1 2025: 635MQ2 2025: 592MQ3 2025: 636MQ4 2025: 640MQ1 2026: 636MQ2 2026: 654M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.9%+18.3M shares
1 year+11%+62.4M shares
3 years+9.3%+55.7M shares
5 years+25%+131M shares
Available history+41%+191M shares

SE has 654M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago, despite $578M in buybacks over the past year.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SE Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: 0.2x
Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy
Q3 20242.2xModerate

SE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from a year a year ago.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

SE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.3Neutral
Stochastic5.6Oversold

SE's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over SE on valuation relative to its sector.

SE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSESector medianRelative
PE29x18x60% above
PE %14746 pts below

SE is trading at 29x earnings, a 60% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over SE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$85.413% below
20 week MA$100.025% below
50 week MA$100.926% below
100 week MA$123.840% below
200 week MA$94.221% below

SE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 21% below its 200-week average.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has the edge over SE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.3$193.2+392%
2021$193.2$222.1+15%
2022$222.1$49.9-78%
2023$49.9$40.5-19%
2024$40.5$108.7+168%
2025$108.7$127.9+18%
2026 YTD$127.9$74.5-42%

SE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2020 to −78% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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