NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over SABR overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

SABR

Sabre Corporation

51
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SABR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

SABR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

SABR's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

SABR PE Valuation

SABR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SABR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SABR to return to profit, with revenue growing.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails SABR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SABR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$3.18
Downside-40%$1.14

Calculated from the latest close: $1.90 on Nov 12.

SABR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over SABR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SABR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.56Q1 2024: $-1.43Q2 2024: $-1.22Q3 2024: $-0.77Q4 2024: $-0.73Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.92Q3 2025: $1.22Q4 2025: $1.34Q1 2026: $1.27Q2 2026: $1.83Q3 2026: $-0.21Forward: $0.09
Q4 2023: $-1.56Q1 2024: $-1.43Q2 2024: $-1.22Q3 2024: $-0.77Q4 2024: $-0.73Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.92Q3 2025: $1.22Q4 2025: $1.34Q1 2026: $1.27Q2 2026: $1.83Q3 2026: $-0.21Forward: $0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.09—
Q3 2026-$0.21-117%
Q2 2026$1.83+$2.75
Q1 2026$1.27+$1.72
Q4 2025$1.34+$2.07
Q3 2025$1.22+$1.99
Q2 2025-$0.92+$0.30
Q1 2025-$0.45+$0.98
Q4 2024-$0.73+$0.83

SABR has swung to a loss: it lost $0.21 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

SABR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $687MQ1 2024: $783MQ2 2024: $767MQ3 2024: $765MQ4 2024: $715MQ1 2025: $777MQ2 2025: $687MQ3 2025: $715MQ4 2025: $667MQ1 2026: $760MQ2 2026: $712MQ3 2026: $738M
Q4 2023: $687MQ1 2024: $783MQ2 2024: $767MQ3 2024: $765MQ4 2024: $715MQ1 2025: $777MQ2 2025: $687MQ3 2025: $715MQ4 2025: $667MQ1 2026: $760MQ2 2026: $712MQ3 2026: $738M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$738.4M+3.2%
Q2 2026$712M+3.6%
Q1 2026$760.3M-2.1%
Q4 2025$666.5M-6.7%
Q3 2025$715.2M-6.5%
Q2 2025$687.1M-10%
Q1 2025$776.6M-0.8%
Q4 2024$714.7M+4%

SABR has the edge over NKE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE has the edge over SABR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SABR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: −$96MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: −$98MQ2 2025: −$222MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: −$155MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: −$48M
Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: −$96MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: −$98MQ2 2025: −$222MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: −$155MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: −$48M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$47.5M-454%
Q2 2026$9.7M+$232.2M
Q1 2026-$155.4M-$56.9M
Q4 2025$115.8M+74%
Q3 2025$13.4M+78%
Q2 2025-$222.5M-2877%
Q1 2025-$98.5M-$2.7M
Q4 2024$66.6M-14%

SABR has burned cash in most quarters: −$77M over the past year, against −$241M the year before.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

SABR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 347MQ1 2024: 380MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 386MQ4 2024: 384MQ1 2025: 455MQ2 2025: 391MQ3 2025: 429MQ4 2025: 392MQ1 2026: 398MQ2 2026: 399MQ3 2026: 404M
Q4 2023: 347MQ1 2024: 380MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 386MQ4 2024: 384MQ1 2025: 455MQ2 2025: 391MQ3 2025: 429MQ4 2025: 392MQ1 2026: 398MQ2 2026: 399MQ3 2026: 404M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+4.3M shares
1 year-6%-25.6M shares
3 years+17%+58.5M shares
5 years+25%+80.9M shares
Available history+46%+127M shares

SABR has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over SABR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SABR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 21.4xQ1 2024: 15.1xQ2 2024: 11.4xQ3 2024: 10.9xQ4 2024: 10.4xQ1 2025: 10.7xQ2 2025: 10.6xQ3 2025: 7.9xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.6xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 8.4x
Q4 2023: 21.4xQ1 2024: 15.1xQ2 2024: 11.4xQ3 2024: 10.9xQ4 2024: 10.4xQ1 2025: 10.7xQ2 2025: 10.6xQ3 2025: 7.9xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.6xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 8.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.4xHigh
Q2 20268.4xHigh
Q1 20268.6xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20257.9xHigh
Q2 202510.6xHigh
Q1 202510.7xHigh
Q4 202410.4xHigh

SABR's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.9 years a year ago.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

SABR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic26.2Neutral

SABR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

SABR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSABRSector medianRelative
PE0.9x18x95% below
PE %54742 pts below

SABR has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

SABR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.815% above
20 week MA$1.942.1% below
50 week MA$1.6912% above
100 week MA$2.1813% below
200 week MA$2.9836% below

SABR has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

SABR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.9$11.4-50%
2021$11.4$8.91-22%
2022$8.91$5.94-33%
2023$5.94$4.40-26%
2024$4.40$3.67-17%
2025$3.67$1.39-62%
2026 YTD$1.39$1.90+37%

SABR has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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