NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RVLV
Revolve Group, Inc.
RVLV has a slight edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
RVLV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
RVLV's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
RVLV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 20x | $18.75 | — |
| Forward | 21x | $18.75 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $21.58 | +15% |
| Fair | 33x | $30.57 | +63% |
| Expensive | 55x | $51.31 | +174% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RVLV has the edge over NKE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RVLV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RVLV, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
RVLV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.89 | -4.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.93 | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.02 | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.90 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.86 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.77 | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.63 | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.70 | +106% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.69 | +82% |
RVLV has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over RVLV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RVLV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $356M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $347.4M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $342.9M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $324.4M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $295.6M | +4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $309M | +9.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $296.7M | +9.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $293.7M | +14% |
RVLV has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.3% | -1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.4% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.6% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.3% | +2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.1% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.8% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.9% | +3 points |
RVLV's operating margin was 5.3% last quarter, down 1.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE has the edge over RVLV on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RVLV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$27.4M | -465% |
| Q2 2026 | -$11.1M | -206% |
| Q1 2026 | $44.5M | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | -$13.3M | -736% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.5M | -6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.4M | +$36.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $43.4M | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1M | +$7M |
RVLV's free cash flow was −$7M over the past year, against $63M the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
RVLV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -140K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -145K shares |
| 3 years | -2.5% | -1.9M shares |
| 5 years | -4% | -3M shares |
| Available history | -0.1% | -45K shares |
RVLV has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $73,000 |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $283,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $98,000 |
| Q3 2024 | $1.9M |
| Q2 2024 | $1.9M |
| Q1 2024 | $8.1M |
| Q4 2023 | $18.3M |
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RVLV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -4.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -4.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.6x | Net Cash |
RVLV has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
RVLV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.2 | Oversold |
RVLV's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over RVLV on valuation relative to its sector.
RVLV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | RVLV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 18x | 12% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
RVLV is trading at 20x earnings, a 12% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over RVLV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RVLV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $21.1 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $22.4 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $23.9 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $23.7 | 21% below |
| 200 week MA | $21.9 | 14% below |
RVLV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has the edge over RVLV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RVLV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $19.0 | $30.5 | +61% |
| 2021 | $30.5 | $56.4 | +85% |
| 2022 | $56.4 | $23.4 | -59% |
| 2023 | $23.4 | $16.6 | -29% |
| 2024 | $16.6 | $33.6 | +103% |
| 2025 | $33.6 | $30.4 | -9.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.4 | $18.8 | -38% |
RVLV's yearly returns have swung widely, from +103% in 2024 to −59% in 2022. It's down 38% so far in 2026.