NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over RRR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RRR

Red Rock Resorts, Inc.

38
Fundamentals34/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

RRR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

RRR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

RRR's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over RRR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RRR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x35x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x35x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$23.83-52%
Fair18x$35.23-28%
Forward19x$49.19—
Expensive21x$40.91-17%
Current25x$49.19—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RRR's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RRR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RRR, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RRR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RRR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$57.19
Downside-29%$34.70

Calculated from the latest close: $49.19 on Nov 12.

RRR trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

RRR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.94Q1 2024: $2.87Q2 2024: $2.81Q3 2024: $2.69Q4 2024: $2.53Q1 2025: $2.60Q2 2025: $2.96Q3 2025: $3.16Q4 2025: $3.12Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $1.97Forward: $2.63
Q4 2023: $2.94Q1 2024: $2.87Q2 2024: $2.81Q3 2024: $2.69Q4 2024: $2.53Q1 2025: $2.60Q2 2025: $2.96Q3 2025: $3.16Q4 2025: $3.12Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $1.97Forward: $2.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.63+34%
Q3 2026$1.97-38%
Q2 2026$2.82-4.7%
Q1 2026$3.10+19%
Q4 2025$3.12+23%
Q3 2025$3.16+17%
Q2 2025$2.96+5.3%
Q1 2025$2.60-9.4%
Q4 2024$2.53-14%

RRR has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

RRR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $463MQ1 2024: $489MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $468MQ4 2024: $496MQ1 2025: $498MQ2 2025: $526MQ3 2025: $476MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $507MQ2 2026: $510MQ3 2026: $489M
Q4 2023: $463MQ1 2024: $489MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $468MQ4 2024: $496MQ1 2025: $498MQ2 2025: $526MQ3 2025: $476MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $507MQ2 2026: $510MQ3 2026: $489M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$488.7M+2.8%
Q2 2026$510.3M-3%
Q1 2026$507.3M+1.9%
Q4 2025$511.8M+3.2%
Q3 2025$475.6M+1.6%
Q2 2025$526.3M+8.2%
Q1 2025$497.9M+1.8%
Q4 2024$495.7M+7.1%

RRR has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

RRR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: −$68M
Q4 2023: −$28MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: −$68M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$67.7M-191%
Q2 2026$18.2M-77%
Q1 2026$22.6M-61%
Q4 2025$77.7M-36%
Q3 2025$74.6M+47%
Q2 2025$80.3M+25%
Q1 2025$58M+104%
Q4 2024$121.4M+$149.4M

RRR has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

RRR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 103MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 58M
Q4 2023: 103MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 58M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-740K shares
1 year-43%-44.6M shares
3 years-44%-45.1M shares
5 years-50%-58.4M shares
Available history-17%-11.5M shares

RRR has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over RRR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RRR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.6xQ1 2024: 4.6xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.1xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 5.3x
Q4 2023: 4.6xQ1 2024: 4.6xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.1xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 5.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.3xHigh
Q2 20264.5xHigh
Q1 20264.3xHigh
Q4 20254.1xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20254.1xHigh
Q1 20254.3xHigh
Q4 20244.3xHigh

RRR's net debt is about 5.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.1 years a year ago.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

RRR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.5Neutral
Stochastic11.4Oversold

RRR's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over RRR on valuation relative to its sector.

RRR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRRRSector medianRelative
PE25x18x39% above
PE %904743 pts above

RRR is trading at 25x earnings, a 39% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over RRR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RRR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$49.50.6% below
20 week MA$56.313% below
50 week MA$58.115% below
100 week MA$54.810% below
200 week MA$52.36% below

RRR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6% below its 200-week average.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

RRR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.0$25.5+6.4%
2021$25.5$52.7+106%
2022$52.7$40.1-24%
2023$40.1$53.3+33%
2024$53.3$46.2-13%
2025$46.2$62.7+36%
2026 YTD$62.7$49.2-22%

RRR has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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