NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ROL
Rollins, Inc.
ROL has a slight edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
ROL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
ROL's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over ROL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ROL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 31x | $37.91 | — |
| Current | 35x | $37.91 | — |
| Cheap | 48x | $52.17 | +38% |
| Fair | 53x | $57.70 | +52% |
| Expensive | 60x | $65.31 | +72% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ROL's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 31x.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ROL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect ROL's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
ROL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.20 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.09 | +1.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.10 | +8.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.09 | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.07 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.01 | +6.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.99 | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.96 | +7.9% |
ROL has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
ROL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +6.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $906.4M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $912.9M | +9.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $999.5M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $822.5M | +9.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $832.2M | +10% |
ROL has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 22% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
ROL has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
ROL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $235.5M | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $166.1M | -1.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2M | -21% |
| Q4 2025 | $159M | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $182.8M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $168M | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $140.1M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $184M | +30% |
ROL has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
ROL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -2.4M shares |
| 1 year | -1.2% | -5.7M shares |
| 3 years | -2.4% | -12M shares |
| 5 years | -2.7% | -13.1M shares |
| Available history | -2.5% | -12.2M shares |
ROL has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $120.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $20M |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $198.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $251,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $14.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $72,000 |
ROL spent $361M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over ROL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ROL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
ROL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
ROL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.8 | Neutral |
ROL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over ROL on valuation relative to its sector.
ROL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ROL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35x | 18x | 93% above |
| PE % | 4 | 47 | 43 pts below |
ROL is trading at 35x earnings, a 93% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
ROL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $33.9 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $36.5 | 3.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $48.2 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $51.5 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $47.3 | 20% below |
ROL has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.
ROL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.8 | $40.1 | +84% |
| 2021 | $40.1 | $32.8 | -18% |
| 2022 | $32.8 | $37.1 | +13% |
| 2023 | $37.1 | $43.7 | +18% |
| 2024 | $43.7 | $46.7 | +6.9% |
| 2025 | $46.7 | $60.6 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.6 | $37.9 | -37% |
ROL has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.