NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over RAVE overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RAVE

RAVE Restaurant Group, Inc.

55
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

RAVE offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

RAVE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

RAVE's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over RAVE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RAVE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.8x$0.95-55%
Current11x$2.11—
Fair14x$2.71+28%
Expensive17x$3.36+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RAVE's PE is in its cheap range at 11x.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RAVE Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for RAVE to show an outlook.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RAVE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RAVE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$2.81
Downside-25%$1.58

Calculated from the latest close: $2.11 on Nov 12.

RAVE trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

RAVE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.15Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.18Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.19Q2 2025: $0.19Q3 2025: $0.20Q4 2025: $0.20Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.20Q3 2026: $0.20
Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.15Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.18Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.19Q2 2025: $0.19Q3 2025: $0.20Q4 2025: $0.20Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.20Q3 2026: $0.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.200%
Q2 2026$0.20+5.3%
Q1 2026$0.21+11%
Q4 2025$0.20+11%
Q3 2025$0.20+11%
Q2 2025$0.19+12%
Q1 2025$0.19+27%
Q4 2024$0.18+38%

RAVE has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

RAVE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3M+3.4%
Q2 2026$3.4M+8.8%
Q1 2026$3.2M+8.7%
Q4 2025$3M+6%
Q3 2025$3.2M+5.3%
Q2 2025$3.2M-6%
Q1 2025$3M+0.1%
Q4 2024$2.9M+2.8%

RAVE has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

RAVE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$339,000Q1 2024: $996,000Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $520,000Q4 2024: $651,000Q1 2025: $953,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $600,000Q4 2025: $297,000Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: −$339,000Q1 2024: $996,000Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $520,000Q4 2024: $651,000Q1 2025: $953,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $600,000Q4 2025: $297,000Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1M+88%
Q2 2026$1.5M+24%
Q1 2026$1.1M+16%
Q4 2025$297K-54%
Q3 2025$600K+15%
Q2 2025$1.2M-13%
Q1 2025$953K-4.3%
Q4 2024$651K+$990K

RAVE has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over RAVE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RAVE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+118K shares
1 year+1%+145K shares
3 years-2.3%-340K shares
5 years-23%-4.4M shares
Available history-9.5%-1.5M shares

RAVE has 14M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RAVE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash

RAVE has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

RAVE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.9Oversold
Stochastic5.2Oversold

RAVE's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RAVE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRAVESector medianRelative
PE11x18x41% below
PE %324715 pts below

RAVE has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over RAVE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RAVE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.204.1% below
20 week MA$2.7624% below
50 week MA$2.8726% below
100 week MA$2.8325% below
200 week MA$2.4213% below

RAVE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 13% below its 200-week average.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

RAVE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.71$0.90-47%
2021$0.90$1.14+27%
2022$1.14$1.40+23%
2023$1.40$2.23+59%
2024$2.23$2.67+20%
2025$2.67$3.29+23%
2026 YTD$3.29$2.11-36%

RAVE has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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