NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RACE
Ferrari N.V.
RACE has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
RACE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
RACE's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over RACE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
RACE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 38x | $394 | -2.8% |
| Current | 40x | $405 | — |
| Fair | 48x | $490 | +21% |
| Expensive | 55x | $567 | +40% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RACE's PE is 40x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RACE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
RACE has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
RACE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $10.25 | +3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.00 | +2.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.95 | +6% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.94 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.88 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.78 | +22% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.39 | +22% |
| Q3 2024 | $8.82 | +22% |
RACE has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
RACE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.1B | +8.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.1B | +3.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $2B | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | +7.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $2B | +4.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.9B | +14% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.8B | +6.5% |
RACE has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 32% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 30% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 28% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 31% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 27% | +2.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 29% | +1 points |
RACE has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
RACE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $366.1M | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $812.8M | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.6B | +545% |
| Q3 2025 | $525.1M | -2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $173.2M | +229% |
| Q1 2025 | $692.2M | +101% |
| Q4 2024 | $242.1M | +2.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $540.3M | +64% |
RACE has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
RACE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -891K shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -2M shares |
| 3 years | -2.9% | -5.3M shares |
| 5 years | -4.6% | -8.6M shares |
| Available history | -5.8% | -10.9M shares |
RACE has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $231.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $251.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $872.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $147.1M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $470.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $167.2M |
| Q3 2024 | $163.1M |
RACE spent $1.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 88% from the year before.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over RACE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
RACE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
RACE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
RACE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 47.3 | Neutral |
RACE's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over RACE on valuation relative to its sector.
RACE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | RACE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 18x | 119% above |
| PE % | 21 | 47 | 26 pts below |
RACE is trading at 40x earnings, a 119% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
RACE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $399.8 | 1.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $400.3 | 1.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $372.0 | 9% above |
| 100 week MA | $412.7 | 1.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $388.6 | 4.3% above |
RACE has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.
RACE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $168.7 | $225.5 | +34% |
| 2021 | $225.5 | $253.5 | +12% |
| 2022 | $253.5 | $211.0 | -17% |
| 2023 | $211.0 | $338.4 | +60% |
| 2024 | $338.4 | $432.2 | +28% |
| 2025 | $432.2 | $378.1 | -13% |
| 2026 YTD | $378.1 | $405.5 | +7.2% |
RACE has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.