NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over PTLO overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

PTLO

Portillo's Inc.

48
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

PTLO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

PTLO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

PTLO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over PTLO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PTLO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$4.20-37%
Forward26x$6.68—
Fair27x$5.84-13%
Current30x$6.68—
Expensive64x$14.12+111%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PTLO's PE is in its fair range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PTLO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

PTLO has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PTLO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PTLO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$8.58
Downside-36%$4.28

Calculated from the latest close: $6.68 on Nov 12.

PTLO trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

PTLO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.32Q1 2024: $0.41Q2 2024: $0.39Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.46Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.45Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.18Q3 2026: $0.22Forward: $0.25
Q4 2023: $0.32Q1 2024: $0.41Q2 2024: $0.39Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.46Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.45Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.18Q3 2026: $0.22Forward: $0.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.25+16%
Q3 2026$0.22-39%
Q2 2026$0.18-60%
Q1 2026$0.21-51%
Q4 2025$0.27-41%
Q3 2025$0.36-16%
Q2 2025$0.45+15%
Q1 2025$0.43+4.9%
Q4 2024$0.46+44%

PTLO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.22 over the past year, against $0.46 in late 2024.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

PTLO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $188MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $178MQ4 2024: $185MQ1 2025: $176MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $194M
Q4 2023: $188MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $178MQ4 2024: $185MQ1 2025: $176MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $194M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$194.1M+7%
Q2 2026$199M+5.6%
Q1 2026$182.6M+3.5%
Q4 2025$185.7M+0.6%
Q3 2025$181.4M+1.8%
Q2 2025$188.5M+3.6%
Q1 2025$176.4M+6.4%
Q4 2024$184.6M-1.7%

PTLO has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

PTLO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$907,000Q2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $17M
Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$907,000Q2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$16.8M+$21.7M
Q2 2026$5.9M+13%
Q1 2026-$907K+$8.7M
Q4 2025-$9.2M-$3.6M
Q3 2025-$5M-164%
Q2 2025$5.2M-67%
Q1 2025-$9.6M-$1.7M
Q4 2024-$5.6M+$7.5M

PTLO has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PTLO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+262K shares
1 year-0.7%-541K shares
3 years+25%+14.7M shares
5 years+119%+39.9M shares

PTLO has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over PTLO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PTLO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20264.9xHigh
Q1 20264.8xHigh
Q4 20254.3xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

PTLO's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

PTLO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.8Neutral
Stochastic85.6Overbought

PTLO's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over PTLO on valuation relative to its sector.

PTLO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPTLOSector medianRelative
PE30x18x68% above
PE %59563 pts above

PTLO is trading at 30x earnings, a 68% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

PTLO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.7640% above
20 week MA$4.6444% above
50 week MA$4.9335% above
100 week MA$7.399.6% below
200 week MA$11.542% below

PTLO has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

PTLO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$37.4$38.3+2.4%
2022$38.3$17.2-55%
2023$17.2$15.9-7.3%
2024$15.9$8.98-44%
2025$8.98$4.71-48%
2026 YTD$4.71$6.68+42%

PTLO has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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