NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over PRKS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

PRKS

United Parks & Resorts Inc.

46
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation35/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

PRKS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

PRKS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Weak

PRKS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over PRKS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PRKS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$40.16—
Cheap12x$32.45-19%
Fair14x$37.08-7.7%
Current15x$40.16—
Expensive18x$47.84+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PRKS's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x, in its cheap range.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PRKS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PRKS's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PRKS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PRKS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$49.71
Downside-29%$28.66

Calculated from the latest close: $40.16 on Nov 12.

PRKS trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

PRKS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.72Q2 2024: $3.83Q3 2024: $3.99Q4 2024: $3.79Q1 2025: $3.67Q2 2025: $3.66Q3 2025: $3.19Q4 2025: $3.06Q1 2026: $2.66Q2 2026: $2.55Q3 2026: $2.68Forward: $3.65
Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.72Q2 2024: $3.83Q3 2024: $3.99Q4 2024: $3.79Q1 2025: $3.67Q2 2025: $3.66Q3 2025: $3.19Q4 2025: $3.06Q1 2026: $2.66Q2 2026: $2.55Q3 2026: $2.68Forward: $3.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.65+36%
Q3 2026$2.68-16%
Q2 2026$2.55-30%
Q1 2026$2.66-28%
Q4 2025$3.06-19%
Q3 2025$3.19-20%
Q2 2025$3.66-4.4%
Q1 2025$3.67-1.3%
Q4 2024$3.79+4.4%

PRKS has the edge over NKE on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

PRKS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $389MQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: $498MQ3 2024: $546MQ4 2024: $384MQ1 2025: $287MQ2 2025: $490MQ3 2025: $512MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $278MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $506M
Q4 2023: $389MQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: $498MQ3 2024: $546MQ4 2024: $384MQ1 2025: $287MQ2 2025: $490MQ3 2025: $512MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $278MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $506M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$506.5M-1.1%
Q2 2026$483.3M-1.4%
Q1 2026$278.3M-3%
Q4 2025$373.5M-2.8%
Q3 2025$511.9M-6.2%
Q2 2025$490.2M-1.5%
Q1 2025$286.9M-3.5%
Q4 2024$384.4M-1.2%

PRKS's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $506M last quarter, down 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

PRKS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $94MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $38MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $23M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $94MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $38MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $23M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$23.5M-38%
Q2 2026$101.5M-21%
Q1 2026-$2.8M+$28.4M
Q4 2025$28.1M-67%
Q3 2025$38M-44%
Q2 2025$127.6M+36%
Q1 2025-$31.2M-$15.3M
Q4 2024$86.2M+141%

PRKS has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PRKS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.5%-1.2M shares
1 year-17%-9.5M shares
3 years-29%-18.4M shares
5 years-43%-34M shares
Available history-43%-35.1M shares

PRKS has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over PRKS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PRKS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 4.6x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 4.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.6xHigh
Q2 20264.5xHigh
Q1 20264.3xHigh
Q4 20254.0xElevated
Q3 20253.7xElevated
Q2 20253.4xElevated
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

PRKS's net debt is about 4.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

PRKS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic39.7Neutral

PRKS's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

PRKS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPRKSSector medianRelative
PE15x18x17% below
PE %734726 pts above

PRKS has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

PRKS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.018% above
20 week MA$39.51.6% above
50 week MA$37.95.9% above
100 week MA$43.16.8% below
200 week MA$48.116% below

PRKS has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

PRKS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.2$30.6-5.2%
2021$30.6$66.9+119%
2022$66.9$54.3-19%
2023$54.3$52.8-2.7%
2024$52.8$55.4+4.9%
2025$55.4$36.0-35%
2026 YTD$36.0$40.2+12%

PRKS has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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