NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over PHM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

PHM

PulteGroup, Inc.

39
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation18/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

PHM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

PHM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Stable
Strong

PHM's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its revenue is under pressure.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over PHM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PHM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.4x11x15x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.4x11x15x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.8x$54.71-57%
Fair8.8x$82.04-35%
Expensive11x$99.83-21%
Current14x$127—
Forward14x$127—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PHM's PE is in its expensive range at 13.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13.7x.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PHM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PHM's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PHM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PHM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$145.68
Downside-32%$86.44

Calculated from the latest close: $126.90 on Nov 12.

PHM trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

PHM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.72Q1 2024: $12.47Q2 2024: $13.09Q3 2024: $13.54Q4 2024: $14.69Q1 2025: $14.16Q2 2025: $13.36Q3 2025: $12.97Q4 2025: $11.12Q1 2026: $10.34Q2 2026: $9.79Q3 2026: $9.36Forward: $9.29
Q4 2023: $11.72Q1 2024: $12.47Q2 2024: $13.09Q3 2024: $13.54Q4 2024: $14.69Q1 2025: $14.16Q2 2025: $13.36Q3 2025: $12.97Q4 2025: $11.12Q1 2026: $10.34Q2 2026: $9.79Q3 2026: $9.36Forward: $9.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.29-0.7%
Q3 2026$9.36-28%
Q2 2026$9.79-27%
Q1 2026$10.34-27%
Q4 2025$11.12-24%
Q3 2025$12.97-4.2%
Q2 2025$13.36+2.1%
Q1 2025$14.16+14%
Q4 2024$14.69+25%

PHM has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over PHM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PHM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4.6BQ3 2024: $4.5BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.4BQ4 2025: $4.6BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4.6BQ3 2024: $4.5BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.4BQ4 2025: $4.6BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B-9.8%
Q2 2026$4B-9.6%
Q1 2026$3.4B-12%
Q4 2025$4.6B-6.3%
Q3 2025$4.4B-1.6%
Q2 2025$4.4B-4.3%
Q1 2025$3.9B-1.4%
Q4 2024$4.9B+15%

PHM's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $4B last quarter, down 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

PHM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $386MQ3 2024: $417MQ4 2024: $543MQ1 2025: $105MQ2 2025: $253MQ3 2025: $651MQ4 2025: $740MQ1 2026: $134MQ2 2026: −$13MQ3 2026: $437M
Q4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $386MQ3 2024: $417MQ4 2024: $543MQ1 2025: $105MQ2 2025: $253MQ3 2025: $651MQ4 2025: $740MQ1 2026: $134MQ2 2026: −$13MQ3 2026: $437M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$437.2M-33%
Q2 2026-$12.9M-105%
Q1 2026$134.4M+28%
Q4 2025$739.8M+36%
Q3 2025$651.1M+56%
Q2 2025$253M-35%
Q1 2025$104.6M-51%
Q4 2024$543.1M+106%

PHM has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PHM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 221MQ1 2024: 214MQ2 2024: 211MQ3 2024: 208MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 204MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 198MQ4 2025: 200MQ1 2026: 193MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 188M
Q4 2023: 221MQ1 2024: 214MQ2 2024: 211MQ3 2024: 208MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 204MQ2 2025: 201MQ3 2025: 198MQ4 2025: 200MQ1 2026: 193MQ2 2026: 191MQ3 2026: 188M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-2.7M shares
1 year-5.2%-10.3M shares
3 years-14%-31.8M shares
5 years-27%-71.1M shares
Available history-31%-83.6M shares

PHM has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

PHM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

PHM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

PHM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.2Neutral
Stochastic66.1Neutral

PHM's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

PHM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPHMSector medianRelative
PE14x18x25% below
PE %994752 pts above

PHM has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

PHM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$120.85% above
20 week MA$124.32.1% above
50 week MA$124.42% above
100 week MA$118.86.8% above
200 week MA$107.718% above

PHM has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

PHM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.8$45.2+17%
2021$45.2$54.7+21%
2022$54.7$45.8-16%
2023$45.8$103.2+125%
2024$103.2$109.5+6.1%
2025$109.5$119.2+8.8%
2026 YTD$119.2$126.9+6.5%

PHM has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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