NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

PHIN

PHINIA Inc.

73
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

PHIN has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

PHIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

PHIN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over PHIN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PHIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.6x17x26x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.6x17x26x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$72.51—
Current15x$72.51—
Cheap19x$92.38+27%
Fair22x$110+52%
Expensive25x$121+67%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PHIN's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PHIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

PHIN has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails PHIN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PHIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$102.00
Downside-13%$63.39

Calculated from the latest close: $72.51 on Nov 12.

PHIN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

PHIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.08Q1 2024: $2.30Q2 2024: $1.87Q3 2024: $2.33Q4 2024: $1.76Q1 2025: $1.77Q2 2025: $2.60Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $3.24Q1 2026: $3.57Q2 2026: $3.48Q3 2026: $4.95Forward: $6.94
Q4 2023: $2.08Q1 2024: $2.30Q2 2024: $1.87Q3 2024: $2.33Q4 2024: $1.76Q1 2025: $1.77Q2 2025: $2.60Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $3.24Q1 2026: $3.57Q2 2026: $3.48Q3 2026: $4.95Forward: $6.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.94+40%
Q3 2026$4.95+122%
Q2 2026$3.48+34%
Q1 2026$3.57+102%
Q4 2025$3.24+84%
Q3 2025$2.23-4.3%
Q2 2025$2.60+39%
Q1 2025$1.77-23%
Q4 2024$1.76-15%

PHIN has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

PHIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $882MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $868MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $833MQ1 2025: $796MQ2 2025: $890MQ3 2025: $908MQ4 2025: $889MQ1 2026: $878MQ2 2026: $940MQ3 2026: $912M
Q4 2023: $882MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $868MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $833MQ1 2025: $796MQ2 2025: $890MQ3 2025: $908MQ4 2025: $889MQ1 2026: $878MQ2 2026: $940MQ3 2026: $912M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$912M+0.4%
Q2 2026$940M+5.6%
Q1 2026$878M+10%
Q4 2025$889M+6.7%
Q3 2025$908M+8.2%
Q2 2025$890M+2.5%
Q1 2025$796M-7.8%
Q4 2024$833M-5.6%

PHIN has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

PHIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: $70M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: $70M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$70M-25%
Q2 2026$69M+200%
Q1 2026$21M+320%
Q4 2025$67M+26%
Q3 2025$93M+33%
Q2 2025$23M-75%
Q1 2025$5M+$17M
Q4 2024$53M+83%

PHIN has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PHIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 37M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 37M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-900K shares
1 year-6.3%-2.5M shares
3 years-21%-10M shares

PHIN has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over PHIN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PHIN Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

PHIN's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

PHIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.2Neutral
Stochastic55.5Neutral

PHIN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

PHIN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPHINSector medianRelative
PE15x18x19% below
PE %13534 pts below

PHIN has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

PHIN has stronger trend alignment. NKE is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus PHIN above 4 of 4.

PHIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.416% above
20 week MA$68.65.6% above
50 week MA$70.23.3% above
100 week MA$59.622% above

PHIN is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 22% above its 100-week average.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

PHIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$31.5$30.3-3.8%
2024$30.3$48.2+59%
2025$48.2$61.4+27%
2026 YTD$61.4$72.5+18%

PHIN has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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