NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over PENN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
PENN
PENN Entertainment, Inc.
PENN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
PENN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
PENN's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over PENN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PENN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.5x | $0.65 | -96% |
| Forward | 11x | $17.53 | — |
| Fair | 22x | $2.25 | -87% |
| Expensive | 29x | $2.94 | -83% |
| Current | 175x | $17.53 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PENN's PE is in its expensive range at 175x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PENN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
PENN has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
PENN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.60 | +1503% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.10 | +$6.44 |
| Q2 2026 | -$6.17 | -$5.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.53 | -$5.92 |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.83 | -$3.78 |
| Q3 2025 | -$6.34 | -$3.21 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.55 | +$7.14 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.61 | +$6.42 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.05 | +$1.17 |
PENN has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over PENN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PENN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.8B | +7.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +5.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8B | +8.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.7B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.8B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | +4.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +20% |
PENN has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.9% | +52 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.5% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1% | +1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -45% | -49 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.4% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.6% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2.9% | +19 points |
PENN's operating margin was 6.9% last quarter, up 52 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
PENN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $204.1M | +2389% |
| Q2 2026 | $143.3M | +662% |
| Q1 2026 | $27.8M | +$111.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$83.2M | +$34.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $8.2M | -81% |
| Q2 2025 | $18.8M | -70% |
| Q1 2025 | -$83.3M | +$26.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$118.1M | +$118.9M |
PENN has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
PENN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | -5.6% | -8.1M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -15.5M shares |
| 5 years | -22% | -37.3M shares |
| Available history | +15% | +17.6M shares |
PENN has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $85M |
| Q3 2025 | $154.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $90.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $25M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
PENN spent $85M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 68% from the year before.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over PENN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PENN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 4.1x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 7.7x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 4.3x | High |
| Q2 2023 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2023 | 1.0x | Healthy |
PENN's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.7 years a year ago.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
PENN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.0 | Neutral |
PENN's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over PENN on valuation relative to its sector.
PENN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PENN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 175x | 18x | 873% above |
| PE % | 100 | 47 | 53 pts above |
PENN is trading at 175x earnings, a 873% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
PENN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.8 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $17.8 | 1.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $16.6 | 5.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $17.1 | 2.4% above |
| 200 week MA | $19.8 | 12% below |
PENN has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.
PENN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.7 | $94.7 | +268% |
| 2021 | $94.7 | $51.4 | -46% |
| 2022 | $51.4 | $30.5 | -41% |
| 2023 | $30.5 | $26.0 | -15% |
| 2024 | $26.0 | $18.7 | -28% |
| 2025 | $18.7 | $15.1 | -19% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.1 | $17.5 | +16% |
PENN has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.