NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over PANW overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

PANW

Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

50
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation18/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential63/ 100

PANW trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

PANW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Strong
Strong

PANW's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over PANW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PANW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE677x1355x2032x2710x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE677x1355x2032x2710x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap48x$19.37-94%
Forward74x$323—
Fair117x$46.90-85%
Expensive344x$138-57%
Current807x$323—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PANW's PE is in its expensive range at 807x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 74x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PANW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PANW, but weaker profitability.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PANW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PANW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$355.48
Downside-63%$118.65

Calculated from the latest close: $322.66 on Nov 12.

PANW trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

PANW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $3.21Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $3.85Q1 2025: $1.79Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.57Q1 2026: $1.80Q2 2026: $1.21Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $4.34
Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $3.21Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $3.85Q1 2025: $1.79Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.57Q1 2026: $1.80Q2 2026: $1.21Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $4.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.34+985%
Q3 2026$0.40-75%
Q2 2026$1.21-32%
Q1 2026$1.80+0.6%
Q4 2025$1.57-59%
Q3 2025$1.60-56%
Q2 2025$1.77-49%
Q1 2025$1.79-44%
Q4 2024$3.85+333%

PANW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.40 over the past year, against $3.85 in late 2024.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

PANW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+34%
Q2 2026$3B+31%
Q1 2026$2.6B+15%
Q4 2025$2.5B+16%
Q3 2025$2.5B+16%
Q2 2025$2.3B+15%
Q1 2025$2.3B+14%
Q4 2024$2.1B+14%

PANW has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

PANW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $492MQ3 2024: $465MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $509MQ2 2025: $560MQ3 2025: $935MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $384MQ2 2026: $788MQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $492MQ3 2024: $465MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $509MQ2 2025: $560MQ3 2025: $935MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $384MQ2 2026: $788MQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+34%
Q2 2026$788M+41%
Q1 2026$384M-25%
Q4 2025$1.7B+15%
Q3 2025$934.5M+101%
Q2 2025$560.4M+14%
Q1 2025$509.4M-22%
Q4 2024$1.5B-1.6%

PANW has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over PANW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PANW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 700MQ1 2024: 715MQ2 2024: 709MQ3 2024: 708MQ4 2024: 709MQ1 2025: 709MQ2 2025: 707MQ3 2025: 709MQ4 2025: 709MQ1 2026: 711MQ2 2026: 801MQ3 2026: 764M
Q4 2023: 700MQ1 2024: 715MQ2 2024: 709MQ3 2024: 708MQ4 2024: 709MQ1 2025: 709MQ2 2025: 707MQ3 2025: 709MQ4 2025: 709MQ1 2026: 711MQ2 2026: 801MQ3 2026: 764M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.6%-37M shares
1 year+7.7%+54.7M shares
3 years+12%+79.4M shares
5 years+32%+186M shares
Available history+32%+184M shares

PANW has 764M diluted shares, up 7.7% from a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

PANW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.6x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.2xNet Cash

PANW has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

PANW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic18.8Oversold

PANW's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over PANW on valuation relative to its sector.

PANW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPANWSector medianRelative
PE807x28x2,795% above
PE %893554 pts above

PANW is trading at 807x earnings, a 2795% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

PANW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$365.212% below
20 week MA$355.89.3% below
50 week MA$260.924% above
100 week MA$225.643% above
200 week MA$182.377% above

PANW has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

PANW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.9$61.2+57%
2021$61.2$93.6+53%
2022$93.6$70.6-25%
2023$70.6$147.4+109%
2024$147.4$186.2+26%
2025$186.2$188.5+1.2%
2026 YTD$188.5$322.7+71%

PANW has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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