NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over OXM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

OXM

Oxford Industries, Inc.

48
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

OXM offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

OXM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

OXM's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

OXM PE Valuation

OXM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OXM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect OXM's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails OXM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OXM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$40.91
Downside-31%$19.60

Calculated from the latest close: $28.31 on Nov 12.

OXM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over OXM on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OXM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.57Q1 2024: $3.82Q2 2024: $2.60Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $1.02Q1 2025: $5.87Q2 2025: $5.15Q3 2025: $3.70Q4 2025: $-0.33Q1 2026: $-1.86Q2 2026: $-2.56Q3 2026: $-0.43Forward: $2.47
Q4 2023: $9.57Q1 2024: $3.82Q2 2024: $2.60Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $1.02Q1 2025: $5.87Q2 2025: $5.15Q3 2025: $3.70Q4 2025: $-0.33Q1 2026: $-1.86Q2 2026: $-2.56Q3 2026: $-0.43Forward: $2.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.47—
Q3 2026-$0.43-112%
Q2 2026-$2.56-150%
Q1 2026-$1.86-132%
Q4 2025-$0.33-132%
Q3 2025$3.70+90%
Q2 2025$5.15+98%
Q1 2025$5.87+54%
Q4 2024$1.02-89%

OXM has swung to a loss: it lost $0.43 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over OXM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OXM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $327MQ1 2024: $404MQ2 2024: $398MQ3 2024: $420MQ4 2024: $308MQ1 2025: $391MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $403MQ4 2025: $307MQ1 2026: $374MQ2 2026: $391MQ3 2026: $394M
Q4 2023: $327MQ1 2024: $404MQ2 2024: $398MQ3 2024: $420MQ4 2024: $308MQ1 2025: $391MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $403MQ4 2025: $307MQ1 2026: $374MQ2 2026: $391MQ3 2026: $394M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$394.4M-2.2%
Q2 2026$391.4M-0.4%
Q1 2026$374.5M-4.1%
Q4 2025$307.3M-0.2%
Q3 2025$403.1M-4%
Q2 2025$392.9M-1.3%
Q1 2025$390.5M-3.4%
Q4 2024$308M-5.7%

OXM's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $394M last quarter, down 2.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

OXM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: $55MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: −$57MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: −$27MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: −$48MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: $81M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: $55MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: −$57MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: −$27MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: −$48MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: $81M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$80.6M+54%
Q2 2026-$14.9M+$12.5M
Q1 2026$34.3M-29%
Q4 2025-$47.9M+$9M
Q3 2025$52.3M+11%
Q2 2025-$27.4M-230%
Q1 2025$48.5M-12%
Q4 2024-$56.9M-$50.7M

OXM has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over OXM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OXM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+73K shares
1 year+0.9%+134K shares
3 years-5.6%-901K shares
5 years-11%-1.8M shares
Available history-11%-1.9M shares

OXM has 15M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over OXM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OXM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 6.6xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 6.6xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20266.6xHigh
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

OXM's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

OXM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.4Neutral
Stochastic27.3Neutral

OXM's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

OXM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricOXMSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

OXM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

OXM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$27.04.7% above
20 week MA$32.212% below
50 week MA$36.322% below
100 week MA$44.636% below
200 week MA$71.460% below

OXM has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 60% below its 200-week average.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

OXM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$76.0$63.0-17%
2021$63.0$96.0+52%
2022$96.0$96.1+0.1%
2023$96.1$100.0+4.1%
2024$100.0$77.8-22%
2025$77.8$34.3-56%
2026 YTD$34.3$28.3-17%

OXM has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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