NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over ONEW overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
ONEW
OneWater Marine Inc.
ONEW offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
ONEW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
ONEW's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
ONEW PE Valuation
ONEW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ONEW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
ONEW has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE has the edge over ONEW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ONEW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.12 | — |
| Q2 2026 | -$7.46 | -$6.65 |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.50 | -$7.03 |
| Q4 2025 | -$6.74 | -$6.02 |
| Q3 2025 | -$7.08 | -$6.68 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.81 | +$5.84 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.47 | +$5.22 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.72 | +$3.14 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.40 | +$2.36 |
ONEW lost $7.46 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over ONEW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ONEW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $530.7M | -4% |
| Q1 2026 | $442.3M | -8.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $380.6M | +1.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $460.1M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $552.9M | +1.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $483.5M | -1% |
| Q4 2024 | $375.8M | +3.2% |
| Q3 2024 | $377.9M | -16% |
ONEW has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 6.7% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.5% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.9% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.5% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.4% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5% | -2.3 points |
| Q3 2024 | 1.2% | +27 points |
ONEW's operating margin was 6.7% last quarter, up 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
ONEW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $77.9M | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | $50M | +110% |
| Q4 2025 | -$78.4M | -$38M |
| Q3 2025 | $7.2M | -69% |
| Q2 2025 | $88.6M | +2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.8M | +75% |
| Q4 2024 | -$40.4M | +$75M |
| Q3 2024 | $23M | +$24.2M |
ONEW has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over ONEW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
ONEW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2% | +340K shares |
| 1 year | +3.1% | +510K shares |
| 3 years | +16% | +2.3M shares |
| 5 years | +49% | +5.6M shares |
| Available history | +214% | +11.6M shares |
ONEW has 17M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
ONEW hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ONEW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | 11.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 11.4x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 10.4x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 9.5x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 8.1x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 7.5x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 6.5x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 5.3x | High |
ONEW's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 8.1 years a year ago.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
ONEW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 21.7 | Neutral |
ONEW's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
ONEW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ONEW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
ONEW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
ONEW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.62 | 2.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $10.9 | 9.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.1 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $13.3 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $20.0 | 51% below |
ONEW has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 51% below its 200-week average.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.
ONEW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $15.1 | $29.8 | +97% |
| 2021 | $29.8 | $53.2 | +79% |
| 2022 | $53.2 | $28.2 | -47% |
| 2023 | $28.2 | $33.8 | +20% |
| 2024 | $33.8 | $17.7 | -47% |
| 2025 | $17.7 | $10.6 | -41% |
| 2026 YTD | $10.6 | $9.85 | -6.6% |
ONEW has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.