NIQ

NIQ Global Intelligence Plc

63
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

NIQ's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over NIQ overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

NIQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Under pressure

NIQ's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

NIQ PE Valuation

NIQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

NIQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIQ has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

NIQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$33.10
Downside-41%$11.33

Calculated from the latest close: $19.22 on Nov 12.

NIQ trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIQ, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NIQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-2.07Q2 2024: $-2.56Q3 2024: $-2.85Q4 2024: $-2.97Q1 2025: $-2.75Q2 2026: $-1.22Q3 2026: $-0.40Forward: $1.26
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-2.07Q2 2024: $-2.56Q3 2024: $-2.85Q4 2024: $-2.97Q1 2025: $-2.75Q2 2026: $-1.22Q3 2026: $-0.40Forward: $1.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.26—
Q1 2025-$2.75-$0.68
Q4 2024-$2.97-$1.22

NIQ lost $0.40 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over NIQ in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

NIQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $988MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $988MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+6.3%
Q2 2026$1.1B+8%
Q1 2026$1.1B+1.3%
Q4 2025$1.1B-1.1%
Q3 2025$1.1B-13%
Q2 2025$1B+5.4%
Q1 2025$1.1B+2.5%
Q4 2024$1.2B-4.8%

NIQ's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.1B last quarter, up 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over NIQ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NIQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$155MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $57MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: −$172MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $265MQ4 2025: $173MQ1 2026: −$67MQ2 2026: $135MQ3 2026: $247M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$155MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $57MQ4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: −$172MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $265MQ4 2025: $173MQ1 2026: −$67MQ2 2026: $135MQ3 2026: $247M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$247M-6.7%
Q1 2026-$66.8M+$105M
Q4 2025$173.2M+220%
Q3 2025$264.8M+369%
Q1 2025-$171.8M-$17.2M

NIQ generated $489M in free cash flow over the past year, up 140% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over NIQ in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.

NIQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 295MQ1 2024: 245MQ2 2024: 245MQ3 2024: 295MQ4 2024: 295MQ1 2025: 245MQ3 2025: 282MQ4 2025: 267MQ1 2026: 295MQ2 2026: 295MQ3 2026: 296M
Q4 2023: 295MQ1 2024: 245MQ2 2024: 245MQ3 2024: 295MQ4 2024: 295MQ1 2025: 245MQ3 2025: 282MQ4 2025: 267MQ1 2026: 295MQ2 2026: 295MQ3 2026: 296M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+1.3M shares
1 year+5.1%+14.4M shares
3 years+0.5%+1.4M shares

NIQ has 296M diluted shares, up 5.1% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over NIQ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIQ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 12.9xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: 11.1xQ1 2025: 11.4xQ2 2025: 8.2xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 4.4xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 3.5x
Q4 2023: 12.9xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: 11.1xQ1 2025: 11.4xQ2 2025: 8.2xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 4.4xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.5xElevated
Q2 20264.3xHigh
Q1 20264.6xHigh
Q4 20254.4xHigh
Q3 20255.4xHigh
Q2 20258.2xHigh
Q1 202511.4xHigh
Q4 202411.1xHigh

NIQ's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.3 years a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over NIQ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NIQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.3Neutral
Stochastic88.9Overbought

NIQ's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

NIQ PE vs Technology Sector

NIQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NIQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.82.1% above
20 week MA$16.318% above
50 week MA$13.939% above

NIQ has stronger trend alignment. NIQ is above 3 of 3 weekly averages versus NVDA above 1 of 5.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

NIQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$19.7$16.4-17%
2026 YTD$16.4$19.2+17%

NIQ has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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