NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has a slight edge over WSM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
WSM
Williams-Sonoma, Inc.
WSM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
WSM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
WSM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
WSM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9x | $87.36 | -65% |
| Fair | 17x | $164 | -34% |
| Expensive | 22x | $212 | -15% |
| Forward | 25x | $250 | — |
| Current | 26x | $250 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WSM's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
WSM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WSM, with profitability improving.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
WSM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.16 | +4.1% |
| Q3 2026 | $9.76 | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.92 | +3.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.84 | +0.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.87 | +5% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.87 | +6.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.61 | +5.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.79 | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.45 | +18% |
WSM has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over WSM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
WSM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | +6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.8B | +4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B | -4.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | +4.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8B | +2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B | +4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B | +8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8B | -2.9% |
WSM's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $2B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 16% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | -0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | +1.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | 0 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +0.8 points |
WSM has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
WSM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $480.8M | +108% |
| Q2 2026 | $98.6M | +63% |
| Q1 2026 | $516M | -8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $248.1M | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $230.7M | +7.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $60.7M | -68% |
| Q1 2025 | $566.3M | -8.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $170.1M | -32% |
WSM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.3B over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
WSM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -3.8% | -4.7M shares |
| 3 years | -7.9% | -10.2M shares |
| 5 years | -22% | -34.3M shares |
| Available history | -25% | -39.5M shares |
WSM has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $287.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $298.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $266.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $199.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $90M |
| Q1 2025 | $100M |
| Q4 2024 | $533.9M |
WSM spent $853M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 7.6% from the year before.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
WSM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
WSM has more cash than debt.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
WSM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 66.6 | Neutral |
WSM's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
WSM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | WSM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 42% above |
| PE % | 98 | 47 | 51 pts above |
WSM is trading at 26x earnings, a 42% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
WSM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $245.7 | 1.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $237.1 | 5.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $213.1 | 18% above |
| 100 week MA | $197.3 | 27% above |
| 200 week MA | $151.3 | 65% above |
WSM has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
WSM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.5 | $53.8 | +47% |
| 2021 | $53.8 | $84.5 | +57% |
| 2022 | $84.5 | $60.1 | -29% |
| 2023 | $60.1 | $100.9 | +68% |
| 2024 | $100.9 | $186.1 | +84% |
| 2025 | $186.1 | $188.6 | +1.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $188.6 | $250.4 | +33% |
WSM has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.