NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
WING
Wingstop Inc.
WING has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
WING Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
WING's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
WING PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 35x | $159 | — |
| Current | 37x | $159 | — |
| Cheap | 45x | $192 | +20% |
| Fair | 104x | $445 | +180% |
| Expensive | 156x | $670 | +321% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WING's PE is in its cheap range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
WING Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WING, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
WING Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.59 | +7.1% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.29 | -30% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.24 | -29% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.05 | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.21 | +68% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.13 | +79% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.99 | +87% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.96 | +112% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.70 | +57% |
WING has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
WING Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $185.1M | +5.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $185.6M | +6.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $183.7M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $175.7M | +8.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $175.7M | +8.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $174.3M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $171.1M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $161.8M | +27% |
WING's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $185M last quarter, up 5.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 27% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 27% | +5.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 27% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 26% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 22% | -6.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | +2.4 points |
WING has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over WING on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
WING Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.7M | -19% |
| Q2 2026 | -$11.3M | -$3.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $43.7M | +153% |
| Q4 2025 | $34.5M | +$43.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $61.7M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | -$7.8M | -130% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.3M | -48% |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.6M | -134% |
WING generated $117M in free cash flow over the past year, up 86% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
WING Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -115K shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -854K shares |
| 3 years | -9% | -2.7M shares |
| 5 years | -9.4% | -2.8M shares |
| Available history | -8.7% | -2.6M shares |
WING has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.2M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $78.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $61.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $40M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $120.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $250.5M |
WING spent $165M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 60% from the year before.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
WING Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.8x | High |
WING's net debt is about 4.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
WING Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 87.0 | Overbought |
WING's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
WING PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | WING | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37x | 18x | 106% above |
| PE % | 8 | 47 | 39 pts below |
WING is trading at 37x earnings, a 106% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
WING Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $131.5 | 21% above |
| 20 week MA | $129.6 | 23% above |
| 50 week MA | $175.9 | 9.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $228.6 | 30% below |
| 200 week MA | $251.2 | 37% below |
WING has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
WING Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $86.2 | $140.8 | +63% |
| 2021 | $140.8 | $173.0 | +23% |
| 2022 | $173.0 | $145.7 | -16% |
| 2023 | $145.7 | $256.6 | +76% |
| 2024 | $256.6 | $285.4 | +11% |
| 2025 | $285.4 | $256.2 | -10% |
| 2026 YTD | $256.2 | $159.3 | -38% |
WING has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.