NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over WGO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

WGO

Winnebago Industries, Inc.

48
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

WGO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WGO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

WGO's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WGO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x72x108x144x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x72x108x144x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$7.31-76%
Fair15x$18.48-40%
Forward16x$31.04—
Expensive26x$31.82+2.5%
Current26x$31.04—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WGO's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over WGO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

WGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect WGO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WGO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WGO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$40.05
Downside-23%$23.87

Calculated from the latest close: $31.04 on Nov 12.

WGO trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

WGO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.28Q1 2024: $3.33Q2 2024: $2.58Q3 2024: $0.44Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $0.91Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.47Q2 2026: $1.36Q3 2026: $1.21Forward: $1.98
Q4 2023: $5.28Q1 2024: $3.33Q2 2024: $2.58Q3 2024: $0.44Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $0.91Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.47Q2 2026: $1.36Q3 2026: $1.21Forward: $1.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.98+63%
Q3 2026$1.21+33%
Q2 2026$1.36+$1.81
Q1 2026$1.47+$1.58
Q4 2025$1.28+$1.80
Q3 2025$0.91+107%
Q2 2025-$0.45-117%
Q1 2025-$0.11-103%
Q4 2024-$0.52-110%

WGO has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over WGO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WGO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $763MQ1 2024: $704MQ2 2024: $786MQ3 2024: $721MQ4 2024: $626MQ1 2025: $620MQ2 2025: $775MQ3 2025: $777MQ4 2025: $703MQ1 2026: $657MQ2 2026: $699MQ3 2026: $645M
Q4 2023: $763MQ1 2024: $704MQ2 2024: $786MQ3 2024: $721MQ4 2024: $626MQ1 2025: $620MQ2 2025: $775MQ3 2025: $777MQ4 2025: $703MQ1 2026: $657MQ2 2026: $699MQ3 2026: $645M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$645.1M-17%
Q2 2026$698.7M-9.9%
Q1 2026$657.4M+6%
Q4 2025$702.7M+12%
Q3 2025$777.3M+7.8%
Q2 2025$775.1M-1.4%
Q1 2025$620.2M-12%
Q4 2024$625.6M-18%

WGO's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $645M last quarter, down 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

WGO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: −$36MQ3 2025: $171MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: −$29MQ2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $135M
Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: −$36MQ3 2025: $171MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: −$29MQ2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $135M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$135.2M-21%
Q2 2026$18.7M+$54.8M
Q1 2026-$29.1M-$10.2M
Q4 2025$19.8M+$46.5M
Q3 2025$171.2M+480%
Q2 2025-$36.1M-141%
Q1 2025-$18.9M-233%
Q4 2024-$26.7M+$6.5M

WGO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $145M over the past year.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

WGO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.4%+100K shares
3 years-20%-7M shares
5 years-17%-5.7M shares
Available history-12%-3.9M shares

WGO has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WGO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 6.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 6.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20263.0xModerate
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20256.5xHigh
Q1 20255.2xHigh
Q4 20243.6xElevated

WGO's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

WGO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.5Neutral
Stochastic72.5Neutral

WGO's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WGO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricWGOSector medianRelative
PE26x18x42% above
PE %824735 pts above

WGO is trading at 26x earnings, a 42% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

WGO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$27.812% above
20 week MA$29.35.8% above
50 week MA$33.88.2% below
100 week MA$35.112% below
200 week MA$48.636% below

WGO has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

WGO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$53.2$65.3+23%
2021$65.3$71.2+8.9%
2022$71.2$53.3-25%
2023$53.3$72.9+37%
2024$72.9$46.9-36%
2025$46.9$41.9-11%
2026 YTD$41.9$31.0-26%

WGO has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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