NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VNCE
Vince Holding Corp.
VNCE has a slight edge over NIO overall on the model score.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VNCE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
VNCE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VNCE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 1.2x | $0.70 | -95% |
| Fair | 8.6x | $4.91 | -62% |
| Expensive | 22x | $12.74 | -1.3% |
| Current | 23x | $12.91 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VNCE's PE is in its expensive range at 23x.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
VNCE Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for VNCE to show an outlook.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
VNCE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.57 | +$1.92 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.70 | +$2.93 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.49 | +$2.00 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.48 | -500% |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.35 | -1327% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.23 | -192% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.51 | -174% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.37 | -76% |
VNCE has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over VNCE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VNCE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $81.8M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $64M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $83.7M | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $85.1M | +6.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $73.2M | -1.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $57.9M | -2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $80M | +6.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $80.2M | -4.7% |
VNCE's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $82M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | -4.1% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.5% | +34 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.4% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +14 points |
| Q2 2025 | -7.7% | -17 points |
| Q1 2025 | -37% | -35 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.2% | +3.8 points |
VNCE has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
VNCE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.4M | +730% |
| Q2 2026 | -$9.1M | +$4.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $15.5M | -27% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.7M | -211% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1M | +$6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$13.2M | -$8.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $21.2M | +49% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.1M | -21% |
VNCE generated $18M in free cash flow over the past year, up 19% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
VNCE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.7% | +343K shares |
| 1 year | +1.8% | +231K shares |
| 3 years | +5.7% | +710K shares |
| 5 years | +11% | +1.3M shares |
| Available history | +10% | +1.2M shares |
VNCE has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VNCE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 4.4x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2023 | 1.7x | Healthy |
VNCE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.4 years a year ago.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
VNCE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 67.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.2 | Overbought |
VNCE's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VNCE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VNCE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 26% above |
| PE % | 85 | 47 | 38 pts above |
VNCE is trading at 23x earnings, a 26% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
VNCE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.8 | 9.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.76 | 47% above |
| 50 week MA | $5.72 | 126% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.03 | 220% above |
| 200 week MA | $3.58 | 261% above |
VNCE has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
VNCE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $17.7 | $5.26 | -70% |
| 2021 | $5.26 | $8.50 | +62% |
| 2022 | $8.50 | $7.72 | -9.2% |
| 2023 | $7.72 | $3.46 | -55% |
| 2024 | $3.46 | $4.02 | +16% |
| 2025 | $4.02 | $4.39 | +9.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.39 | $12.9 | +194% |
VNCE has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.