NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
VIK
Viking Holdings Ltd
VIK has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VIK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy |
VIK's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VIK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 22x | $88.88 | — |
| Current | 29x | $88.88 | — |
| Cheap | 31x | $92.52 | +4.1% |
| Fair | 34x | $102 | +15% |
| Expensive | 46x | $139 | +56% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VIK's PE is in its cheap range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
VIK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VIK, with profitability improving.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
VIK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.00 | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.02 | +63% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.69 | +119% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.57 | +$3.33 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.14 | +$4.52 |
| Q2 2025 | $1.85 | +$7.96 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.23 | +$7.27 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.76 | +$3.55 |
| Q3 2024 | -$2.38 | +$0.10 |
VIK has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VIK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.2B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.7B | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $897.1M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | +21% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.7B | +11% |
VIK's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2023: $2.2B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.1% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | +3.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | +1.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 29% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1% | +8.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +3 points |
| Q3 2024 | 29% | +1.8 points |
VIK has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 100% versus its history, compared with VIK at down 68%.
VIK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | -$179.9M | -2765% |
| Q3 2024 | $714.5M | +81% |
| Q2 2024 | $262.9M | +196% |
| Q1 2024 | $367M | +269% |
| Q4 2023 | $6.8M | +$150.2M |
VIK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$397M, but it generated $289M over the past year.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
VIK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +2.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.6% | +2.5M shares |
| 3 years | +3.9% | +16.6M shares |
VIK has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VIK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 21.7x | High |
VIK's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
VIK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.7 | Neutral |
VIK's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VIK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VIK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 18x | 63% above |
| PE % | 10 | 24 | 14 pts below |
VIK is trading at 29x earnings, a 63% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
VIK has stronger trend alignment. NIO is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus VIK above 3 of 4.
VIK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $84.0 | 5.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $90.7 | 2% below |
| 50 week MA | $83.2 | 6.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $67.5 | 32% above |
VIK's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 32% above its 100-week average.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
VIK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $29.0 | $44.4 | +53% |
| 2025 | $44.4 | $73.3 | +65% |
| 2026 YTD | $73.3 | $88.9 | +21% |
VIK has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.