NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has a slight edge over VFS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

VFS

VinFast Auto Ltd.

54
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

VFS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VFS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

VFS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VFS PE Valuation

VFS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over VFS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

VFS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VFS's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VFS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VFS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$4.19
Downside-26%$2.25

Calculated from the latest close: $3.06 on Nov 12.

VFS trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO has the edge over VFS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VFS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.96Q4 2023: $-1.01Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-1.12Q3 2024: $-1.09Q4 2024: $-1.29Q1 2025: $-1.34Q2 2025: $-1.36Q3 2025: $-1.54Q4 2025: $-1.62Q1 2026: $-1.79Q2 2026: $-2.09
Q3 2023: $-0.96Q4 2023: $-1.01Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-1.12Q3 2024: $-1.09Q4 2024: $-1.29Q1 2025: $-1.34Q2 2025: $-1.36Q3 2025: $-1.54Q4 2025: $-1.62Q1 2026: $-1.79Q2 2026: $-2.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$2.09-$0.73
Q1 2026-$1.79-$0.45
Q4 2025-$1.62-$0.33
Q3 2025-$1.54-$0.45
Q2 2025-$1.36-$0.24
Q1 2025-$1.34-$0.32
Q4 2024-$1.29-$0.28
Q3 2024-$1.09-$0.13

VFS lost $2.09 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

VFS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $322MQ4 2023: $378MQ1 2024: $254MQ2 2024: $338MQ3 2024: $480MQ4 2024: $643MQ1 2025: $635MQ2 2025: $647MQ3 2025: $705MQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $900MQ2 2026: $1.2B
Q3 2023: $322MQ4 2023: $378MQ1 2024: $254MQ2 2024: $338MQ3 2024: $480MQ4 2024: $643MQ1 2025: $635MQ2 2025: $647MQ3 2025: $705MQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $900MQ2 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.2B+83%
Q1 2026$900.2M+42%
Q4 2025$1.5B+139%
Q3 2025$705M+47%
Q2 2025$646.9M+92%
Q1 2025$635.1M+150%
Q4 2024$642.5M+70%
Q3 2024$480.1M+49%

VFS has the edge over NIO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO has the edge over VFS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VFS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$1.1BQ4 2023: −$516MQ1 2024: −$671MQ2 2024: −$408MQ3 2024: −$559MQ4 2024: −$199MQ1 2025: −$729MQ2 2025: −$658MQ3 2025: −$692MQ4 2025: −$547MQ1 2026: −$714MQ2 2026: −$924M
Q3 2023: −$1.1BQ4 2023: −$516MQ1 2024: −$671MQ2 2024: −$408MQ3 2024: −$559MQ4 2024: −$199MQ1 2025: −$729MQ2 2025: −$658MQ3 2025: −$692MQ4 2025: −$547MQ1 2026: −$714MQ2 2026: −$924M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$924.2M-$265.9M
Q1 2026-$713.8M+$15.6M
Q4 2025-$546.8M-$348.2M
Q3 2025-$692.2M-$132.8M
Q2 2025-$658.3M-$250.1M
Q1 2025-$729.5M-$58.9M
Q4 2024-$198.6M+$317.5M
Q3 2024-$559.4M+$560.3M

VFS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$2.9B over the past year, against −$2.1B the year before.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

VFS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.3BQ4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.3BQ2 2024: 2.3BQ3 2024: 2.3BQ4 2024: 2.3BQ1 2025: 2.3BQ2 2025: 2.3BQ3 2025: 2.3BQ4 2025: 2.3BQ1 2026: 2.3BQ2 2026: 2.3B
Q3 2023: 2.3BQ4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.3BQ2 2024: 2.3BQ3 2024: 2.3BQ4 2024: 2.3BQ1 2025: 2.3BQ2 2025: 2.3BQ3 2025: 2.3BQ4 2025: 2.3BQ1 2026: 2.3BQ2 2026: 2.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%+723K shares
3 years+0.7%+17.3M shares

VFS has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VFS Net Leverage

VFS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

VFS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.7Neutral
Stochastic50.6Neutral

VFS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VFS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

VFS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

VFS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.132.2% below
20 week MA$3.132.2% below
50 week MA$3.358.7% below
100 week MA$3.4311% below
200 week MA$5.7146% below

VFS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

VFS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.68$9.680%
2022$9.68$10.0+3.5%
2023$10.0$8.37-16%
2024$8.37$4.32-48%
2025$4.32$3.39-22%
2026 YTD$3.39$3.06-9.7%

VFS has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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