NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
VC
Visteon Corporation
VC has a slight edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
VC's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7x | $40.88 | -48% |
| Forward | 8.3x | $79.11 | — |
| Current | 14x | $79.11 | — |
| Fair | 22x | $126 | +60% |
| Expensive | 66x | $381 | +381% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VC's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over VC on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
VC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VC, with profitability holding steady.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
VC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.47 | +63% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.80 | -48% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.65 | -27% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.21 | -23% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.43 | -4% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.14 | -39% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.50 | -45% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.68 | -39% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.82 | -42% |
VC has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over VC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $970M | +5.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $960M | -0.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $954M | +2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $948M | +1% |
| Q3 2025 | $917M | -6.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $969M | -4.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $934M | +0.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $939M | -5.2% |
VC's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $970M last quarter, up 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7% | -8.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.9% | -2.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.1% | -5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.8% | +3.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 10% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | +3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.9% | +1.2 points |
VC has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
VC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $38M | -70% |
| Q2 2026 | $37M | -61% |
| Q1 2026 | $6M | -91% |
| Q4 2025 | $118M | -42% |
| Q3 2025 | $127M | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $95M | +67% |
| Q1 2025 | $70M | +1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $203M | +107% |
VC still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $199M over the past year.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
VC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -4.4% | -1.2M shares |
| 1 year | -6.8% | -1.9M shares |
| 3 years | -8.8% | -2.5M shares |
| 5 years | -8.5% | -2.4M shares |
| Available history | -7.8% | -2.2M shares |
VC has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $201M |
| Q2 2026 | $6M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | $50M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $7M |
| Q4 2024 | $43M |
VC spent $287M buying back its own shares over the past year, about six times what it spent the year before.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
VC has more cash than debt.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
VC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.7 | Oversold |
VC's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 24% below |
| PE % | 42 | 47 | 5 pts below |
VC is trading at 14x earnings, a 24% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
VC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $82.1 | 3.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $94.9 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $98.7 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $97.8 | 19% below |
| 200 week MA | $110.5 | 28% below |
VC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% below its 200-week average.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
VC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $86.6 | $125.9 | +45% |
| 2021 | $125.9 | $110.1 | -13% |
| 2022 | $110.1 | $128.3 | +16% |
| 2023 | $128.3 | $124.9 | -2.6% |
| 2024 | $124.9 | $89.3 | -28% |
| 2025 | $89.3 | $97.3 | +8.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $97.3 | $79.1 | -19% |
VC has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.