NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

URBN

Urban Outfitters, Inc.

65
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

URBN has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

URBN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

URBN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

URBN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1026x2053x3079x4106x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1026x2053x3079x4106x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$64.55-24%
Fair13x$85.87+1.3%
Current13x$84.80—
Forward13x$84.80—
Expensive16x$102+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

URBN's PE is in its fair range at 13.3x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12.8x next year's earnings.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

URBN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for URBN, with profitability improving.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails URBN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

URBN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$115.70
Downside-19%$68.75

Calculated from the latest close: $84.80 on Nov 12.

URBN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

URBN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.87Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $3.50Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.77Q3 2025: $5.11Q4 2025: $5.29Q1 2026: $5.06Q2 2026: $5.20Q3 2026: $6.40Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $2.87Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $3.50Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.77Q3 2025: $5.11Q4 2025: $5.29Q1 2026: $5.06Q2 2026: $5.20Q3 2026: $6.40Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+3.6%
Q3 2026$6.40+25%
Q2 2026$5.20+9%
Q1 2026$5.06+19%
Q4 2025$5.29+51%
Q3 2025$5.11+56%
Q2 2025$4.77+52%
Q1 2025$4.26+40%
Q4 2024$3.50+22%

URBN has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

URBN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+10%
Q2 2026$1.5B+11%
Q1 2026$1.8B+10%
Q4 2025$1.5B+12%
Q3 2025$1.5B+11%
Q2 2025$1.3B+11%
Q1 2025$1.6B+10%
Q4 2024$1.4B+6.3%

URBN's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $1.7B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

URBN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: $282MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: $157MQ4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: −$178MQ3 2026: $301M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: $282MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: $157MQ4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: −$178MQ3 2026: $301M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$301.4M+92%
Q2 2026-$177.8M-$164.6M
Q1 2026$194.3M-31%
Q4 2025-$22.8M+$3.9M
Q3 2025$156.6M+230%
Q2 2025-$13.1M-175%
Q1 2025$281.9M+56%
Q4 2024-$26.7M-$23.1M

URBN generated $295M in free cash flow over the past year, down 26% from the year before.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

URBN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 95MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 89MQ3 2026: 87M
Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 95MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 89MQ3 2026: 87M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-2.1M shares
1 year-4.9%-4.5M shares
3 years-8%-7.6M shares
5 years-13%-12.9M shares
Available history-12%-12M shares

URBN has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

URBN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

URBN has more cash than debt.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

URBN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.4Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

URBN's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

URBN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricURBNSector medianRelative
PE13x18x26% below
PE %4747Same percentile

URBN is trading at 13x earnings, a 26% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

URBN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$84.01% above
20 week MA$78.77.8% above
50 week MA$74.314% above
100 week MA$68.723% above
200 week MA$52.562% above

URBN has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

URBN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.8$26.8-3.6%
2021$26.8$29.1+8.8%
2022$29.1$24.1-17%
2023$24.1$35.7+48%
2024$35.7$55.8+56%
2025$55.8$77.1+38%
2026 YTD$77.1$84.8+10%

URBN has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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