NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
UBER
Uber Technologies, Inc.
UBER has the edge over NIO overall on the model score.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
UBER Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
UBER's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
UBER PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $26.01 | -62% |
| Fair | 17x | $29.70 | -57% |
| Forward | 17x | $69.12 | — |
| Current | 40x | $69.12 | — |
| Expensive | 93x | $160 | +131% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UBER's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
UBER Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UBER, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
UBER Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.07 | +138% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.71 | -78% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.57 | -22% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.03 | -29% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.73 | +3.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.78 | +285% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.87 | +538% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.71 | +806% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.56 | +424% |
UBER has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
UBER Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $14.8B | +9.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $14.2B | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.4B | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.7B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.5B | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $12B | +20% |
UBER's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $14.8B last quarter, up 9.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +5.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.3% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.4% | -0.1 points |
UBER has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
UBER Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.5B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3B | +1.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +65% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2B | +5.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5B | +44% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.3B | +66% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +122% |
UBER has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
UBER Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +99K shares |
| 1 year | -3.5% | -74.1M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -58.2M shares |
| 5 years | +8% | +151M shares |
| Available history | +19% | +326M shares |
UBER has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $750M |
| Q2 2026 | $518M |
| Q1 2026 | $3B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $555M |
UBER spent $6.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
UBER Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
UBER's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
UBER Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.7 | Oversold |
UBER's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
UBER PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | UBER | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 45% above |
| PE % | 68 | 35 | 33 pts above |
UBER is trading at 40x earnings, a 45% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
UBER Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $68.7 | 0.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $71.7 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $74.4 | 7.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $78.9 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $67.9 | 1.8% above |
UBER has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
UBER Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $30.2 | $52.9 | +75% |
| 2021 | $52.9 | $43.9 | -17% |
| 2022 | $43.9 | $24.6 | -44% |
| 2023 | $24.6 | $61.6 | +150% |
| 2024 | $61.6 | $61.1 | -0.7% |
| 2025 | $61.1 | $81.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $81.3 | $69.1 | -15% |
UBER has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.