NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over UAA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
UAA
Under Armour, Inc.
UAA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
UAA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
UAA's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
UAA PE Valuation
UAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 44x next year's earnings.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over UAA on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
UAA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect UAA to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO has the edge over UAA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UAA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.11 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.11 | -$0.90 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.15 | -623% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.16 | -$0.69 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.22 | -$0.93 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.21 | -$0.18 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.22 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.47 | -187% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.29 | -133% |
UAA is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.11 per share over the past year, against $1.64 at its worst in late 2020.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over UAA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
UAA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | -6.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | -3.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | -0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -5.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | -4.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -5.7% |
UAA's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.3% | +4 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.9% | +3.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | -11% | -12 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3% | -11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3% | +26 points |
| Q1 2025 | -6.1% | -5.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1% | -3.7 points |
UAA has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over UAA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UAA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$101.7M | -$11.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $94.5M | +601% |
| Q1 2026 | -$347.3M | -$116.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $261.9M | -0.4% |
| Q3 2025 | -$90.3M | +$276.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $13.5M | -87% |
| Q1 2025 | -$231M | -$74.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $262.9M | -31% |
UAA's free cash flow was −$93M over the past year, against −$45M the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
UAA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -2.3M shares |
| 1 year | +0.3% | +1.3M shares |
| 3 years | -5.3% | -24M shares |
| 5 years | -9.2% | -43.4M shares |
| Available history | -5.4% | -24.6M shares |
UAA has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $25M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $25M |
| Q4 2024 | $25M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $40M |
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
UAA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 9.0x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -8.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -5.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
UAA's net debt is about 9.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
UAA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.4 | Neutral |
UAA's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
UAA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | UAA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
UAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
UAA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.83 | 1.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $5.52 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $5.80 | 16% below |
| 100 week MA | $6.02 | 19% below |
| 200 week MA | $7.04 | 30% below |
UAA has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
UAA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.5 | $17.4 | -19% |
| 2021 | $17.4 | $20.6 | +18% |
| 2022 | $20.6 | $9.77 | -53% |
| 2023 | $9.77 | $8.79 | -10% |
| 2024 | $8.79 | $8.38 | -4.7% |
| 2025 | $8.38 | $4.65 | -45% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.65 | $4.90 | +5.4% |
UAA has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.