NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over UA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
UA
Under Armour, Inc.
UA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
UA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
UA's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
UA PE Valuation
UA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 42x next year's earnings.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over UA on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
UA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect UA to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO has the edge over UA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.11 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.11 | -$0.90 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.15 | -623% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.16 | -$0.69 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.22 | -$0.93 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.21 | -$0.18 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.22 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.47 | -187% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.29 | -133% |
UA is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.11 per share over the past year, against $1.64 at its worst in late 2020.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over UA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
UA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | -6.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | -3.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | -0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -5.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | -4.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -5.7% |
UA's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.3% | +4 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.9% | +3.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | -11% | -12 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3% | -11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3% | +26 points |
| Q1 2025 | -6.1% | -5.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1% | -3.7 points |
UA has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over UA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$101.7M | -$11.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $94.5M | +601% |
| Q1 2026 | -$347.3M | -$116.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $261.9M | -0.4% |
| Q3 2025 | -$90.3M | +$276.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $13.5M | -87% |
| Q1 2025 | -$231M | -$74.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $262.9M | -31% |
UA's free cash flow was −$93M over the past year, against −$45M the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
UA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -2.3M shares |
| 1 year | +0.3% | +1.3M shares |
| 3 years | -5.3% | -24M shares |
| 5 years | -9.2% | -43.4M shares |
| Available history | -5.4% | -24.6M shares |
UA has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $25M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $25M |
| Q4 2024 | $25M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $40M |
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
UA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 9.0x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -8.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -5.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
UA's net debt is about 9.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
UA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 30.4 | Neutral |
UA's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
UA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | UA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
UA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
UA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.70 | 0.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $5.38 | 12% below |
| 50 week MA | $5.64 | 16% below |
| 100 week MA | $5.75 | 18% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.64 | 29% below |
UA has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
UA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $19.3 | $15.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $15.1 | $17.6 | +17% |
| 2022 | $17.6 | $8.60 | -51% |
| 2023 | $8.60 | $8.35 | -2.9% |
| 2024 | $8.35 | $7.56 | -9.5% |
| 2025 | $7.56 | $4.43 | -41% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.43 | $4.74 | +7% |
UA has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.