NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has a slight edge over TXRH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

TXRH

Texas Roadhouse, Inc.

55
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

TXRH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TXRH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

TXRH's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TXRH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x174x232x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x174x232x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$158-15%
Fair28x$177-4.7%
Current29x$186—
Expensive34x$219+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TXRH's PE is in its fair range at 29x.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

TXRH Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TXRH to show an outlook.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TXRH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TXRH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$223.99
Downside-17%$153.77

Calculated from the latest close: $185.99 on Nov 12.

TXRH trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

TXRH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.54Q1 2024: $4.95Q2 2024: $5.52Q3 2024: $5.83Q4 2024: $6.47Q2 2025: $6.48Q3 2025: $6.55Q3 2025: $6.54Q4 2025: $6.10Q1 2026: $6.27Q2 2026: $6.26Q3 2026: $6.37
Q4 2023: $4.54Q1 2024: $4.95Q2 2024: $5.52Q3 2024: $5.83Q4 2024: $6.47Q2 2025: $6.48Q3 2025: $6.55Q3 2025: $6.54Q4 2025: $6.10Q1 2026: $6.27Q2 2026: $6.26Q3 2026: $6.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$6.37-2.6%
Q2 2026$6.26-4.4%
Q1 2026$6.27-3.2%
Q4 2025$6.10-5.7%
Q3 2025$6.54+12%
Q2 2025$6.55+19%
Q1 2025$6.48+31%
Q4 2024$6.47+43%

TXRH has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

TXRH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+9.5%
Q2 2026$1.7B+11%
Q1 2026$1.6B+13%
Q4 2025$1.5B+3.1%
Q3 2025$1.4B+13%
Q2 2025$1.5B+13%
Q1 2025$1.4B+9.6%
Q4 2024$1.4B+23%

TXRH's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $1.6B last quarter, up 9.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

TXRH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $130MQ2 2025: $160MQ3 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $131MQ1 2026: $179MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $130MQ2 2025: $160MQ3 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $131MQ1 2026: $179MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.1M-25%
Q2 2026$81.5M+128%
Q1 2026$178.9M+12%
Q4 2025$131.3M+1.2%
Q3 2025$14.7M-69%
Q2 2025$35.7M-36%
Q1 2025$160.4M-3.3%
Q4 2024$129.7M+82%

TXRH generated $403M in free cash flow over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

TXRH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 66MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 66MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-135K shares
1 year-1%-691K shares
3 years-1.8%-1.2M shares
5 years-6.2%-4.4M shares
Available history-7.2%-5.1M shares

TXRH has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TXRH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

TXRH has more cash than debt.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

TXRH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.0Neutral
Stochastic47.9Neutral

TXRH's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TXRH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTXRHSector medianRelative
PE29x18x62% above
PE %584711 pts above

TXRH is trading at 29x earnings, a 62% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

TXRH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$170.59.1% above
20 week MA$185.00.5% above
50 week MA$178.94% above
100 week MA$177.44.8% above
200 week MA$156.419% above

TXRH has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

TXRH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$55.0$80.0+45%
2021$80.0$88.8+11%
2022$88.8$96.3+8.5%
2023$96.3$122.2+27%
2024$122.2$181.9+49%
2025$181.9$170.8-6.1%
2026 YTD$170.8$186.0+8.9%

TXRH has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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