NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

76
Fundamentals92/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

TSM has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TSM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
Strong

TSM's balance sheet is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, profitability and cash flow.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSM PE Valuation

TSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

TSM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TSM, with profitability improving.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails TSM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$508.50
Downside-18%$334.36

Calculated from the latest close: $405.49 on Nov 12.

TSM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

TSM Earnings Per Share

TSM and NIO do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

TSM and NIO do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

TSM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

TSM and NIO do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

TSM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5.2BQ1 2024: 5.2BQ2 2024: 5.2BQ3 2024: 5.2BQ4 2024: 5.2BQ1 2025: 5.2BQ2 2025: 5.2BQ3 2025: 5.2BQ4 2025: 5.2BQ1 2026: 5.2BQ2 2026: 5.2BQ3 2026: 5.2B
Q4 2023: 5.2BQ1 2024: 5.2BQ2 2024: 5.2BQ3 2024: 5.2BQ4 2024: 5.2BQ1 2025: 5.2BQ2 2025: 5.2BQ3 2025: 5.2BQ4 2025: 5.2BQ1 2026: 5.2BQ2 2026: 5.2BQ3 2026: 5.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+45.8K shares
1 year0%+391K shares
3 years0%+528K shares
5 years0%+324K shares
Available history0%+324K shares

TSM has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TSM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

TSM has more cash than debt.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

TSM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic28.9Neutral

TSM's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTSMSector medianRelative
PE27x28x3.3% below
PE %453510 pts above

TSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

TSM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$424.44.4% below
20 week MA$422.44% below
50 week MA$386.54.9% above
100 week MA$304.533% above
200 week MA$215.688% above

TSM has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

TSM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$58.5$106.0+81%
2021$106.0$120.7+14%
2022$120.7$74.9-38%
2023$74.9$104.0+39%
2024$104.0$201.6+94%
2025$201.6$302.8+50%
2026 YTD$302.8$405.5+34%

TSM has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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