NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TMUS
T-Mobile US, Inc.
TMUS has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TMUS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TMUS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 13x | $171 | — |
| Current | 16x | $171 | — |
| Cheap | 21x | $218 | +27% |
| Fair | 26x | $274 | +60% |
| Expensive | 56x | $581 | +240% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
TMUS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TMUS, with profitability improving.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
TMUS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.49 | +30% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.37 | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.56 | -9.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.41 | -8.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.72 | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.39 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.59 | +33% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.24 | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.66 | +39% |
TMUS has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TMUS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $23.6B | +7.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.8B | +7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.1B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.3B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $22B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B | +6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.9B | +6.8% |
TMUS's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $23.6B last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 24% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | -3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | +2.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +4 points |
TMUS has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
TMUS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.1B | +5.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B | +4.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.2B | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.8B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.6B | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B | +79% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.3B | +2% |
TMUS has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
TMUS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -10.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.9% | -55M shares |
| 3 years | -8.8% | -103M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -182M shares |
| Available history | +24% | +207M shares |
TMUS has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7B |
TMUS spent $12B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 1.7% from the year before.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TMUS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
TMUS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
TMUS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.1 | Neutral |
TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | TMUS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 16x | Same PE |
| PE % | 1 | 26 | 25 pts below |
TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
TMUS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $159.1 | 7.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $172.0 | 0.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $187.8 | 8.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $212.9 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $188.7 | 9.4% below |
TMUS has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
TMUS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $77.2 | $132.9 | +72% |
| 2021 | $132.9 | $119.9 | -9.8% |
| 2022 | $119.9 | $140.0 | +17% |
| 2023 | $140.0 | $160.3 | +15% |
| 2024 | $160.3 | $223.0 | +39% |
| 2025 | $223.0 | $201.0 | -9.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $201.0 | $171.0 | -15% |
TMUS has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.