NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over THCH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

THCH

TH International Limited

38
Fundamentals32/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

THCH offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

THCH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

THCH's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

THCH PE Valuation

THCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over THCH on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

THCH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect THCH's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails THCH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

THCH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$1.92
Downside-35%$0.80

Calculated from the latest close: $1.24 on Nov 12.

THCH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO has the edge over THCH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

THCH Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-4.75Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.01Q2 2024: $-3.10Q3 2024: $-2.75Q4 2024: $-1.91Q1 2025: $-1.50Q2 2025: $-1.63Q3 2025: $-1.56Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $-2.23Q2 2026: $-2.33
Q3 2023: $-4.75Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.01Q2 2024: $-3.10Q3 2024: $-2.75Q4 2024: $-1.91Q1 2025: $-1.50Q2 2025: $-1.63Q3 2025: $-1.56Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $-2.23Q2 2026: $-2.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$2.33-$0.70
Q1 2026-$2.23-$0.73
Q4 2025-$1.99-$0.08
Q3 2025-$1.56+$1.19
Q2 2025-$1.63+$1.47
Q1 2025-$1.50+$2.51
Q4 2024-$1.91+$2.62
Q3 2024-$2.75+$2.00

THCH is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.33 per share over the past year, against $5.40 at its worst in mid-2023.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over THCH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

THCH Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $65MQ4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $41M
Q3 2023: $65MQ4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $41M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.9M-22%
Q1 2026$38.3M-15%
Q4 2025$45.7M-8.5%
Q3 2025$53.7M-0.4%
Q2 2025$52.4M-4.9%
Q1 2025$45.1M-9.5%
Q4 2024$49.9M-15%
Q3 2024$54M-17%

THCH's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $41M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

THCH Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: −$56MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$32,866Q2 2025: −$176,334Q3 2025: −$257,072Q4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $5M
Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: −$56MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$32,866Q2 2025: −$176,334Q3 2025: −$257,072Q4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$5.1M+$5.3M
Q1 2026-$3.5M-$3.5M
Q4 2025-$11.3M-$6.5M
Q3 2025-$257.1K+$1.7M
Q2 2025-$176.3K-104%
Q1 2025-$32.9K+$4M
Q4 2024-$4.7M+$51.2M
Q3 2024-$2M+$2.6M

THCH has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

THCH Total Shares

Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33M
Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%-4.3K shares
3 years+6.7%+2M shares
5 years+21%+5.6M shares
Available history+21%+5.6M shares

THCH has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

THCH Net Leverage

THCH's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

THCH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.7Neutral
Stochastic33.1Neutral

THCH's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

THCH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

THCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

THCH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.176% above
20 week MA$1.4011% below
50 week MA$1.7931% below
100 week MA$2.3247% below
200 week MA$6.0780% below

THCH has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO has the edge over THCH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

THCH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$49.1$48.9-0.4%
2022$48.9$15.7-68%
2023$15.7$8.75-44%
2024$8.75$3.73-57%
2025$3.73$2.19-41%
2026 YTD$2.19$1.24-43%

THCH has finished every year since 2021 lower, and it's down 43% so far in 2026.

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