NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over TDUP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
TDUP
ThredUp Inc.
TDUP offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TDUP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TDUP's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TDUP PE Valuation
TDUP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over TDUP on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
TDUP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect TDUP's losses to grow, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
TDUP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.20 | +$0.10 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.19 | +$0.30 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.18 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.17 | +$0.52 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.30 | +$0.34 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.49 | +$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.58 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.69 | -$0.01 |
TDUP is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.20 per share over the past year, against $1.35 at its worst in late 2021.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over TDUP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO has the edge over TDUP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TDUP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $88.2M | +7.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $90.8M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $81.7M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $79.7M | +188% |
| Q3 2025 | $82.2M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $77.7M | -2.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $71.3M | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $27.7M | -66% |
TDUP's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $88M last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -6% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | -6.7% | 0 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.1% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.4% | -64 points |
| Q3 2025 | -5.3% | +29 points |
| Q2 2025 | -6.8% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | -7.6% | +13 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +73 points |
TDUP's operating margin was −6% last quarter, down 0.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
TDUP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12K | -99% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.8M | +$4.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $643K | -84% |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.2M | -182% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.4M | +207% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.9M | +$3.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.9M | +$4.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $3.9M | +$14.1M |
TDUP has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
TDUP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.5% | +2M shares |
| 1 year | +6.4% | +7.9M shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +25.9M shares |
| 5 years | +40% | +37.4M shares |
| Available history | +70% | +54.3M shares |
TDUP has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TDUP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
TDUP has more cash than debt.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
TDUP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 5.4 | Oversold |
TDUP's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TDUP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
TDUP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
TDUP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.00 | 25% below |
| 20 week MA | $3.36 | 55% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.39 | 66% below |
| 100 week MA | $5.27 | 72% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.68 | 59% below |
TDUP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 59% below its 200-week average.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO has the edge over TDUP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TDUP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $20.0 | $13.3 | -34% |
| 2022 | $13.3 | $1.34 | -90% |
| 2023 | $1.34 | $2.25 | +68% |
| 2024 | $2.25 | $1.39 | -38% |
| 2025 | $1.39 | $6.23 | +348% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.23 | $1.50 | -76% |
TDUP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +348% in 2025 to −90% in 2022. It's down 76% so far in 2026.