NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SVV
Savers Value Village, Inc.
SVV has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SVV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
SVV's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SVV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 18x | $10.09 | — |
| Current | 25x | $10.09 | — |
| Cheap | 29x | $11.79 | +17% |
| Fair | 57x | $22.64 | +124% |
| Expensive | 72x | $28.97 | +187% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SVV's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over SVV on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
SVV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SVV, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
SVV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.57 | +43% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.40 | +$0.42 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.16 | -20% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.14 | 0% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.14 | -18% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.02 | -104% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.20 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.14 | -66% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.17 | -50% |
SVV has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SVV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $463.1M | +8.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $448.2M | +7.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $403.2M | +8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $464.7M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $426.9M | +8.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $417.2M | +7.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $370.1M | +4.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $402M | +5% |
SVV's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $463M last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.4% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.3% | +1.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -1.4 points |
SVV has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
SVV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $29.2M | +$35.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $44.8M | +104% |
| Q1 2026 | -$9.9M | +$10.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $53.2M | +77% |
| Q3 2025 | -$6.3M | -$3.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $21.9M | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | -$20.2M | +$8.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $30.1M | -44% |
SVV has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
SVV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +63K shares |
| 1 year | +2.2% | +3.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -1.1M shares |
| 5 years | -0.8% | -1.3M shares |
| Available history | -0.8% | -1.3M shares |
SVV has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10M |
| Q2 2026 | $10.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $10.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $9.6M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $23.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $11.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $10.7M |
SVV spent $40M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 14% from the year before.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SVV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Moderate |
SVV's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
SVV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.0 | Neutral |
SVV's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SVV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SVV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 18x | 40% above |
| PE % | 13 | 35 | 22 pts below |
SVV is trading at 25x earnings, a 40% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
SVV has stronger trend alignment. NIO is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus SVV above 4 of 4.
SVV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.56 | 5.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $9.95 | 1.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $9.48 | 6.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $9.88 | 2.1% above |
SVV is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 2.1% above its 100-week average.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
SVV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $23.7 | $17.4 | -27% |
| 2024 | $17.4 | $10.3 | -41% |
| 2025 | $10.3 | $9.43 | -8.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.43 | $10.1 | +7% |
SVV has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.