NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over SPWH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
SPWH
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc.
SPWH offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SPWH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
SPWH's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SPWH PE Valuation
SPWH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over SPWH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SPWH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SPWH's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO has the edge over SPWH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SPWH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.23 | -$0.26 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.30 | -$0.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.30 | -$0.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.98 | -$0.13 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.97 | -$0.07 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.95 | -$0.12 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.87 | -$0.10 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.85 | -$0.57 |
SPWH lost $1.23 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over SPWH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SPWH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $295.6M | +0.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $256.1M | +2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $334.9M | -1.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $331.3M | +2.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $293.9M | +1.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $249.1M | +2% |
| Q1 2025 | $340.4M | -8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $324.3M | -4.8% |
SPWH's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $296M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | -7.1% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.6% | -6.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1.1% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | -7.9% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.1% | +3.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1% | +0.1 points |
SPWH has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
SPWH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$15.5M | +$18.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$59.6M | +$4.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $98.1M | +98% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.7M | +$14.9M |
| Q3 2025 | -$33.9M | -340% |
| Q2 2025 | -$64M | -$26.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $49.6M | -18% |
| Q4 2024 | -$6.2M | -127% |
SPWH's free cash flow has turned positive again: $32M over the past year, against −$55M the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
SPWH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.7% | +280K shares |
| 1 year | +1.7% | +668K shares |
| 3 years | +4.1% | +1.5M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -5.7M shares |
| Available history | -10% | -4.5M shares |
SPWH has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $2.1M |
| Q2 2023 | $696,000 |
| Q1 2023 | $2.3M |
| Q4 2022 | $10.4M |
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SPWH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 20.9x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 24.4x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
SPWH's net debt is about 15 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.8 years a year ago.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
SPWH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.3 | Neutral |
SPWH's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SPWH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SPWH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
SPWH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
SPWH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.11 | 9% above |
| 20 week MA | $1.16 | 4.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $1.29 | 6.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $1.85 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.18 | 62% below |
SPWH has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
SPWH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $8.04 | $17.9 | +123% |
| 2021 | $17.9 | $11.5 | -36% |
| 2022 | $11.5 | $9.13 | -21% |
| 2023 | $9.13 | $4.26 | -53% |
| 2024 | $4.26 | $2.65 | -38% |
| 2025 | $2.65 | $1.36 | -49% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.36 | $1.21 | -11% |
SPWH has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.