NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SIG
Signet Jewelers Limited
SIG has the edge over NIO overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SIG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
SIG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SIG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.8x | $58.67 | -50% |
| Forward | 9.2x | $118 | — |
| Fair | 10x | $87.57 | -26% |
| Expensive | 14x | $118 | +0.1% |
| Current | 14x | $118 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SIG's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.2x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over SIG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SIG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SIG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
SIG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.80 | +48% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.63 | +195% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.08 | +714% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.08 | +$7.89 |
| Q4 2025 | $3.30 | -62% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.93 | -66% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.87 | -93% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.81 | -105% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.71 | +1.4% |
SIG has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over SIG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SIG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | +0.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3B | -0.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | +3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5B | +3% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.5B | +2% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | -5.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | -3.1% |
SIG's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.5B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.7% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2.4% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +7.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.7% | +1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2% | +6.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.1% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.5% | -10 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7% | -0.3 points |
SIG has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
SIG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $30.8M | -51% |
| Q2 2026 | -$169.2M | +$42.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $676.4M | -8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.5M | +$137M |
| Q3 2025 | $62.3M | +294% |
| Q2 2025 | -$211.9M | -$30.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $742.1M | +3.6% |
| Q4 2024 | -$138.5M | -1089% |
SIG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $537M over the past year.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
SIG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.7% | -1.1M shares |
| 1 year | -4.4% | -1.8M shares |
| 3 years | -28% | -15M shares |
| 5 years | -24% | -12.7M shares |
| Available history | -24% | -12.5M shares |
SIG has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $87.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $82.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $27M |
| Q4 2025 | $28.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $32.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $117.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $24.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $66.6M |
SIG spent $225M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 6.3% from the year before.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SIG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
SIG has more cash than debt.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
SIG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.9 | Overbought |
SIG's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SIG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SIG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 24% below |
| PE % | 83 | 47 | 36 pts above |
SIG is trading at 14x earnings, a 24% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
SIG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $112.1 | 5.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $98.9 | 19% above |
| 50 week MA | $92.4 | 28% above |
| 100 week MA | $84.1 | 41% above |
| 200 week MA | $84.5 | 40% above |
SIG has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
SIG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.0 | $26.2 | +25% |
| 2021 | $26.2 | $83.5 | +219% |
| 2022 | $83.5 | $68.1 | -19% |
| 2023 | $68.1 | $107.3 | +58% |
| 2024 | $107.3 | $82.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $82.0 | $85.2 | +4% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $118.2 | +39% |
SIG has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.