NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SHAK
Shake Shack Inc.
SHAK has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SHAK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
SHAK's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SHAK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 71x | $72.68 | — |
| Cheap | 75x | $77.60 | +6.8% |
| Fair | 153x | $158 | +117% |
| Expensive | 505x | $520 | +616% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SHAK's PE is in its cheap range at 71x.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
SHAK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for SHAK to show an outlook.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
SHAK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.03 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.94 | +100% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.98 | +238% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.09 | +354% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.03 | +442% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.47 | -27% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.29 | -49% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.24 | -50% |
SHAK has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SHAK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $423.3M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $417.6M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $366.7M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $400.5M | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $367.4M | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $356.5M | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $320.9M | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $328.7M | +15% |
SHAK's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $423M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.1% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7% | -1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.7% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.3% | +2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.9% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1% | +3.6 points |
SHAK has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
SHAK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.1M | -45% |
| Q2 2026 | -$736K | -103% |
| Q1 2026 | -$38.7M | -2170% |
| Q4 2025 | $4M | -62% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.7M | +237% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.9M | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9M | +$4.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4M | +23% |
SHAK's free cash flow was −$22M over the past year, against $63M the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
SHAK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +44K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +36K shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -2.1M shares |
| 5 years | +7.1% | +2.8M shares |
| Available history | +30% | +9.7M shares |
SHAK has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SHAK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
SHAK has more cash than debt.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
SHAK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.5 | Neutral |
SHAK's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SHAK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SHAK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 71x | 18x | 292% above |
| PE % | 11 | 47 | 36 pts below |
SHAK is trading at 71x earnings, a 292% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
SHAK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $66.7 | 9% above |
| 20 week MA | $65.3 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $75.9 | 4.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $92.0 | 21% below |
| 200 week MA | $86.9 | 16% below |
SHAK has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
SHAK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.5 | $87.8 | +45% |
| 2021 | $87.8 | $74.5 | -15% |
| 2022 | $74.5 | $44.9 | -40% |
| 2023 | $44.9 | $74.1 | +65% |
| 2024 | $74.1 | $132.6 | +79% |
| 2025 | $132.6 | $83.8 | -37% |
| 2026 YTD | $83.8 | $72.7 | -13% |
SHAK has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.