NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SGHC
Super Group (SGHC) Limited
SGHC has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SGHC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
SGHC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SGHC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.6x | $4.10 | -64% |
| Forward | 13x | $11.42 | — |
| Current | 16x | $11.42 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $16.77 | +47% |
| Expensive | 52x | $37.98 | +233% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SGHC's PE is in its fair range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
SGHC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SGHC, with profitability improving.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
SGHC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.87 | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.73 | +161% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.48 | +66% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.44 | +69% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.46 | +2200% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.28 | +1300% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.29 | +262% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.26 | +$0.28 |
| Q3 2024 | $0.02 | -80% |
SGHC has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SGHC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $684M | +0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $612M | +8% |
| Q4 2025 | $578M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $555.7M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $681.7M | +48% |
| Q1 2025 | $566.8M | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $476.5M | +19% |
| Q3 2024 | $499.8M | +26% |
SGHC has the edge over NIO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 25% | +7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | +2.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | -4.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 25% | +20 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | +4.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | +12 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +23 points |
| Q3 2024 | 5.5% | -2.3 points |
SGHC has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over SGHC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SGHC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $164M | +$286.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $89M | -63% |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$122.3M | -$122.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $241M | +$241M |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | $0 |
SGHC generated $253M in free cash flow over the past year, up 113% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
SGHC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +2.8M shares |
| 1 year | +1.9% | +9.3M shares |
| 3 years | +2.2% | +11.2M shares |
| 5 years | +4.6% | +22.4M shares |
SGHC has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
SGHC hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SGHC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
SGHC has more cash than debt.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
SGHC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.2 | Oversold |
SGHC's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SGHC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SGHC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 13% below |
| PE % | 34 | 49 | 15 pts below |
SGHC is trading at 16x earnings, a 13% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
SGHC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.2 | 1.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $12.8 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.0 | 4.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.8 | 6.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $7.19 | 59% above |
SGHC has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
SGHC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.73 | $10.2 | +4.6% |
| 2021 | $10.2 | $9.96 | -2.2% |
| 2022 | $9.96 | $2.96 | -70% |
| 2023 | $2.96 | $3.17 | +7.1% |
| 2024 | $3.17 | $6.10 | +92% |
| 2025 | $6.10 | $11.9 | +95% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.9 | $11.4 | -4.2% |
SGHC has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.