NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SE
Sea Limited
SE has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
SE's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 29x | $74.52 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $95.38 | +28% |
| Fair | 93x | $242 | +224% |
| Expensive | 688x | $1,783 | +2293% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SE's PE is in its cheap range at 29x.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over SE on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
SE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SE, but weaker profitability.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
SE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.59 | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.58 | +82% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.54 | +239% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.30 | +1253% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.97 | +$2.32 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.42 | +2740% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.75 | +213% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.17 | -85% |
SE has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $7.8B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.1B | +47% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.9B | +38% |
| Q3 2025 | $6B | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.3B | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B | +30% |
| Q4 2024 | $5B | +37% |
| Q3 2024 | $4.3B | +31% |
SE has the edge over NIO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 8% | -1.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.8% | +1.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8% | +3.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.3% | +7.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.4% | +7.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | +7.7 points |
| Q3 2024 | 4.7% | +8.5 points |
SE has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
SE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | -18% |
| Q1 2026 | $918.9M | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | -100% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | +0.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +153% |
| Q1 2025 | $756.9M | +72% |
| Q4 2024 | $931.8M | +252% |
| Q3 2024 | $1B | +86% |
SE has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
SE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.9% | +18.3M shares |
| 1 year | +11% | +62.4M shares |
| 3 years | +9.3% | +55.7M shares |
| 5 years | +25% | +131M shares |
| Available history | +41% | +191M shares |
SE has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $164M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
SE spent $578M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 2.2x | Moderate |
SE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from a year a year ago.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
SE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 5.6 | Oversold |
SE's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 18x | 60% above |
| PE % | 1 | 47 | 46 pts below |
SE is trading at 29x earnings, a 60% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
SE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $85.4 | 13% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.0 | 25% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.9 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $123.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $94.2 | 21% below |
SE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 21% below its 200-week average.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO has the edge over SE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $39.3 | $193.2 | +392% |
| 2021 | $193.2 | $222.1 | +15% |
| 2022 | $222.1 | $49.9 | -78% |
| 2023 | $49.9 | $40.5 | -19% |
| 2024 | $40.5 | $108.7 | +168% |
| 2025 | $108.7 | $127.9 | +18% |
| 2026 YTD | $127.9 | $74.5 | -42% |
SE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2020 to −78% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.