NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has a slight edge over SCI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
SCI
Service Corporation International
SCI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SCI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
SCI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SCI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $60.18 | -20% |
| Forward | 18x | $74.97 | — |
| Current | 19x | $74.97 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $80.86 | +7.9% |
| Expensive | 22x | $88.36 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SCI's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over SCI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
SCI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SCI's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
SCI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.22 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.03 | +9.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.83 | +4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.79 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.80 | +7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.69 | +7% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.67 | +6.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.62 | +3.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.53 | 0% |
SCI has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SCI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +4.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +3.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +3% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | +2.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +3.5% |
SCI's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 21% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | +1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 24% | +1.1 points |
SCI has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
SCI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $197.4M | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $142.9M | +71% |
| Q1 2026 | $253.9M | +9% |
| Q4 2025 | $87.2M | -43% |
| Q3 2025 | $150.7M | -7.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $83.4M | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $233M | +66% |
| Q4 2024 | $151.8M | -17% |
SCI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $681M over the past year, up 10% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
SCI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -1.1M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -4.2M shares |
| 3 years | -9.9% | -15.1M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -32.8M shares |
| Available history | -26% | -48.3M shares |
SCI has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $52.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $123.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $143.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $58.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $78.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $193.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $130.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $56.2M |
SCI spent $378M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 18% from the year before.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SCI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.0x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.0x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 4.0x | Elevated |
SCI's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
SCI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.6 | Neutral |
SCI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SCI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SCI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 18x | 3.2% above |
| PE % | 34 | 47 | 13 pts below |
SCI is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
SCI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $77.7 | 3.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $80.2 | 6.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.7 | 5.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $79.5 | 5.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $74.6 | 0.5% above |
SCI has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
SCI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $46.1 | $48.7 | +5.6% |
| 2021 | $48.7 | $69.7 | +43% |
| 2022 | $69.7 | $70.2 | +0.8% |
| 2023 | $70.2 | $68.5 | -2.5% |
| 2024 | $68.5 | $80.8 | +18% |
| 2025 | $80.8 | $78.0 | -3.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $78.0 | $75.0 | -3.8% |
SCI has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.