NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over SABR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
SABR
Sabre Corporation
SABR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SABR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
SABR's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SABR PE Valuation
SABR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over SABR on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
SABR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect SABR to return to profit, with revenue growing.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
SABR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.09 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.21 | -117% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.83 | +$2.75 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.27 | +$1.72 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.34 | +$2.07 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.22 | +$1.99 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.92 | +$0.30 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.45 | +$0.98 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.73 | +$0.83 |
SABR has swung to a loss: it lost $0.21 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over SABR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SABR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $738.4M | +3.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $712M | +3.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $760.3M | -2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $666.5M | -6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $715.2M | -6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $687.1M | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $776.6M | -0.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $714.7M | +4% |
SABR's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $738M last quarter, up 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +1.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2% | -4.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | +3.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8% | +2.6 points |
SABR has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over SABR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SABR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$47.5M | -454% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.7M | +$232.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$155.4M | -$56.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $115.8M | +74% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.4M | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | -$222.5M | -2877% |
| Q1 2025 | -$98.5M | -$2.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $66.6M | -14% |
SABR has burned cash in most quarters: −$77M over the past year, against −$241M the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
SABR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +4.3M shares |
| 1 year | -6% | -25.6M shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +58.5M shares |
| 5 years | +25% | +80.9M shares |
| Available history | +46% | +127M shares |
SABR has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | — |
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SABR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 8.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 10.6x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 10.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 10.4x | High |
SABR's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.9 years a year ago.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
SABR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.2 | Neutral |
SABR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SABR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SABR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 0.9x | 18x | 95% below |
| PE % | 5 | 47 | 42 pts below |
SABR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
SABR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.81 | 5% above |
| 20 week MA | $1.94 | 2.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.69 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $2.18 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.98 | 36% below |
SABR has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
SABR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.9 | $11.4 | -50% |
| 2021 | $11.4 | $8.91 | -22% |
| 2022 | $8.91 | $5.94 | -33% |
| 2023 | $5.94 | $4.40 | -26% |
| 2024 | $4.40 | $3.67 | -17% |
| 2025 | $3.67 | $1.39 | -62% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.39 | $1.90 | +37% |
SABR has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.