NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
RVLV
Revolve Group, Inc.
RVLV has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RVLV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
RVLV's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RVLV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 20x | $18.75 | — |
| Forward | 21x | $18.75 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $21.58 | +15% |
| Fair | 33x | $30.57 | +63% |
| Expensive | 55x | $51.31 | +174% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RVLV's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 21x.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over RVLV on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
RVLV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RVLV, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
RVLV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.89 | -4.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.93 | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.02 | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.90 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.86 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.77 | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.63 | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.70 | +106% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.69 | +82% |
RVLV has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RVLV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $356M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $347.4M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $342.9M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $324.4M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $295.6M | +4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $309M | +9.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $296.7M | +9.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $293.7M | +14% |
RVLV's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $356M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.3% | -1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.4% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.6% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.3% | +2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.1% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.8% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.9% | +3 points |
RVLV has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
RVLV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$27.4M | -465% |
| Q2 2026 | -$11.1M | -206% |
| Q1 2026 | $44.5M | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | -$13.3M | -736% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.5M | -6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.4M | +$36.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $43.4M | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1M | +$7M |
RVLV's free cash flow was −$7M over the past year, against $63M the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
RVLV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -140K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -145K shares |
| 3 years | -2.5% | -1.9M shares |
| 5 years | -4% | -3M shares |
| Available history | -0.1% | -45K shares |
RVLV has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $73,000 |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $283,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $98,000 |
| Q3 2024 | $1.9M |
| Q2 2024 | $1.9M |
| Q1 2024 | $8.1M |
| Q4 2023 | $18.3M |
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RVLV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -4.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -4.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.6x | Net Cash |
RVLV has more cash than debt.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
RVLV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.2 | Oversold |
RVLV's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RVLV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | RVLV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 18x | 12% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
RVLV is trading at 20x earnings, a 12% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
RVLV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $21.1 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $22.4 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $23.9 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $23.7 | 21% below |
| 200 week MA | $21.9 | 14% below |
RVLV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
RVLV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $19.0 | $30.5 | +61% |
| 2021 | $30.5 | $56.4 | +85% |
| 2022 | $56.4 | $23.4 | -59% |
| 2023 | $23.4 | $16.6 | -29% |
| 2024 | $16.6 | $33.6 | +103% |
| 2025 | $33.6 | $30.4 | -9.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.4 | $18.8 | -38% |
RVLV has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.