NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RSI
Rush Street Interactive, Inc.
RSI has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RSI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RSI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RSI PE Valuation
RSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
RSI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RSI, with profitability improving.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
RSI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 117% for NIO versus RSI up 1,200%.
RSI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.73 | +179% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.26 | +$0.28 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.21 | +$0.30 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.09 | +$0.26 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.03 | +$0.30 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.02 | +$0.37 |
| Q2 2024 | -$0.09 | +$0.34 |
| Q1 2024 | -$0.17 | +$0.31 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.27 | +$0.34 |
RSI has returned to profit: it earned $0.26 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RSI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $385.9M | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $393.8M | +46% |
| Q1 2026 | $370.4M | +41% |
| Q4 2025 | $324.9M | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $277.9M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $269.2M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $262.4M | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $254.2M | +31% |
RSI has the edge over NIO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.8% | +4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9% | +7.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.6% | +4.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.8% | +6.6 points |
RSI has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
RSI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $70.3M | +71% |
| Q2 2026 | $51.7M | +102% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.9M | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $68.9M | +168% |
| Q3 2025 | $41.2M | +41% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $28.6M | -6.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7M | +4612% |
RSI has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
RSI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4.2% | +4.9M shares |
| 1 year | -49% | -116M shares |
| 3 years | +79% | +53.5M shares |
| 5 years | +104% | +61.7M shares |
RSI has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.5M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $5.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
RSI spent $14M buying back its own shares over the past year.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RSI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.1x | Net Cash |
RSI has more cash than debt.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
RSI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 23.5 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 3.4 | Oversold |
RSI's weekly RSI is 24 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RSI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | RSI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
RSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
RSI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $16.2 | 27% below |
| 20 week MA | $23.2 | 49% below |
| 50 week MA | $22.6 | 48% below |
| 100 week MA | $19.0 | 38% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.6 | 6.4% below |
RSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.4% below its 200-week average.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
RSI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.62 | $23.9 | +149% |
| 2021 | $23.9 | $17.0 | -29% |
| 2022 | $17.0 | $3.02 | -82% |
| 2023 | $3.02 | $4.49 | +49% |
| 2024 | $4.49 | $13.7 | +206% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $19.5 | +42% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.5 | $11.8 | -39% |
RSI has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.