NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ROL

Rollins, Inc.

61
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

ROL has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ROL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

ROL's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x72x96x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x72x96x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward31x$37.91—
Current35x$37.91—
Cheap48x$52.17+38%
Fair53x$57.70+52%
Expensive60x$65.31+72%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ROL's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 31x.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over ROL on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

ROL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect ROL's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ROL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ROL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$44.13
Downside-15%$32.33

Calculated from the latest close: $37.91 on Nov 12.

ROL trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

ROL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $0.90Q2 2024: $0.95Q3 2024: $0.97Q4 2024: $0.96Q1 2025: $0.99Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $1.07Q4 2025: $1.09Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.10Q3 2026: $1.09Forward: $1.20
Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $0.90Q2 2024: $0.95Q3 2024: $0.97Q4 2024: $0.96Q1 2025: $0.99Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $1.07Q4 2025: $1.09Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.10Q3 2026: $1.09Forward: $1.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.20+11%
Q3 2026$1.09+1.9%
Q2 2026$1.10+8.9%
Q1 2026$1.09+10%
Q4 2025$1.09+14%
Q3 2025$1.07+10%
Q2 2025$1.01+6.3%
Q1 2025$0.99+10%
Q4 2024$0.96+7.9%

ROL has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

ROL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $754MQ1 2024: $748MQ2 2024: $892MQ3 2024: $916MQ4 2024: $832MQ1 2025: $823MQ2 2025: $1000MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $913MQ1 2026: $906MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $754MQ1 2024: $748MQ2 2024: $892MQ3 2024: $916MQ4 2024: $832MQ1 2025: $823MQ2 2025: $1000MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $913MQ1 2026: $906MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+6.2%
Q2 2026$1.1B+7.9%
Q1 2026$906.4M+10%
Q4 2025$912.9M+9.7%
Q3 2025$1B+12%
Q2 2025$999.5M+12%
Q1 2025$822.5M+9.9%
Q4 2024$832.2M+10%

ROL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.1B last quarter, up 6.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

ROL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $142MQ1 2024: $120MQ2 2024: $136MQ3 2024: $139MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $140MQ2 2025: $168MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $159MQ1 2026: $111MQ2 2026: $166MQ3 2026: $235M
Q4 2023: $142MQ1 2024: $120MQ2 2024: $136MQ3 2024: $139MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $140MQ2 2025: $168MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $159MQ1 2026: $111MQ2 2026: $166MQ3 2026: $235M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$235.5M+29%
Q2 2026$166.1M-1.2%
Q1 2026$111.2M-21%
Q4 2025$159M-14%
Q3 2025$182.8M+31%
Q2 2025$168M+23%
Q1 2025$140.1M+17%
Q4 2024$184M+30%

ROL has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

ROL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 490MQ1 2024: 484MQ2 2024: 484MQ3 2024: 484MQ4 2024: 484MQ1 2025: 484MQ2 2025: 485MQ3 2025: 485MQ4 2025: 484MQ1 2026: 481MQ2 2026: 481MQ3 2026: 479M
Q4 2023: 490MQ1 2024: 484MQ2 2024: 484MQ3 2024: 484MQ4 2024: 484MQ1 2025: 484MQ2 2025: 485MQ3 2025: 485MQ4 2025: 484MQ1 2026: 481MQ2 2026: 481MQ3 2026: 479M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-2.4M shares
1 year-1.2%-5.7M shares
3 years-2.4%-12M shares
5 years-2.7%-13.1M shares
Available history-2.5%-12.2M shares

ROL has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ROL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

ROL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

ROL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic72.8Neutral

ROL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricROLSector medianRelative
PE35x18x93% above
PE %44743 pts below

ROL is trading at 35x earnings, a 93% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

ROL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$33.912% above
20 week MA$36.53.7% above
50 week MA$48.221% below
100 week MA$51.526% below
200 week MA$47.320% below

ROL has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

ROL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.8$40.1+84%
2021$40.1$32.8-18%
2022$32.8$37.1+13%
2023$37.1$43.7+18%
2024$43.7$46.7+6.9%
2025$46.7$60.6+30%
2026 YTD$60.6$37.9-37%

ROL has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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