NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over RGS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

RGS

Regis Corporation

42
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation17/ 100
Upside potential11/ 100
Risk potential96/ 100

RGS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RGS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Stable
Under pressure

RGS's profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RGS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.2x6.4x9.6x13x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.2x6.4x9.6x13x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap0.5x$1.05-96%
Fair0.6x$1.27-95%
Expensive0.7x$1.39-94%
Current11x$23.55—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RGS's PE is in its expensive range at 11x.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

RGS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for RGS to show an outlook.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RGS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RGS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$26.24
Downside-96%$1.00

Calculated from the latest close: $23.55 on Nov 12.

RGS trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

RGS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.77Q1 2024: $-1.97Q2 2024: $38.34Q3 2024: $37.38Q4 2024: $39.66Q1 2025: $40.74Q2 2025: $46.10Q3 2025: $46.95Q4 2025: $44.40Q1 2026: $44.58Q2 2026: $2.41Q3 2026: $2.10
Q4 2023: $-1.77Q1 2024: $-1.97Q2 2024: $38.34Q3 2024: $37.38Q4 2024: $39.66Q1 2025: $40.74Q2 2025: $46.10Q3 2025: $46.95Q4 2025: $44.40Q1 2026: $44.58Q2 2026: $2.41Q3 2026: $2.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$2.10-96%
Q2 2026$2.41-95%
Q1 2026$44.58+9.4%
Q4 2025$44.40+12%
Q3 2025$46.95+26%
Q2 2025$46.10+20%
Q1 2025$40.74+$42.71
Q4 2024$39.66+$41.43

RGS has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over RGS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RGS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $59MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $54M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $59MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $54M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.3M-7.8%
Q2 2026$56M-7.3%
Q1 2026$52.4M-8%
Q4 2025$57.1M+22%
Q3 2025$59M+28%
Q2 2025$60.4M+22%
Q1 2025$57M+16%
Q4 2024$46.7M-8.5%

RGS's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $54M last quarter, down 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

RGS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$326,000Q2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $891,000Q1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$326,000Q2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $891,000Q1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.1M+11%
Q2 2026$3.6M-42%
Q1 2026$4.8M-19%
Q4 2025$891K-48%
Q3 2025$1.9M+$3.2M
Q2 2025$6.2M+23%
Q1 2025$5.9M+$6.2M
Q4 2024$1.7M+$5.9M

RGS has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

RGS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+44K shares
1 year+5.1%+142K shares
3 years+24%+561K shares
5 years+59%+1.1M shares
Available history+63%+1.1M shares

RGS has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RGS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.2xQ1 2024: 7.5xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 4.7xQ4 2024: 5.2xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 8.2xQ1 2024: 7.5xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 4.7xQ4 2024: 5.2xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.2xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20254.1xHigh
Q1 20254.8xHigh
Q4 20245.2xHigh

RGS's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

RGS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.3Neutral
Stochastic35.1Neutral

RGS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RGS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRGSSector medianRelative
PE11x18x38% below
PE %924745 pts above

RGS is trading at 11x earnings, a 38% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

RGS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$27.815% below
20 week MA$27.715% below
50 week MA$26.511% below
100 week MA$24.85% below
200 week MA$21.211% above

RGS has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

RGS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$359.0$189.6-47%
2021$189.6$33.8-82%
2022$33.8$24.2-28%
2023$24.2$9.45-61%
2024$9.45$25.5+170%
2025$25.5$27.4+7.4%
2026 YTD$27.4$23.6-14%

RGS has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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